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NCAAF Wednesday, October 7: 2 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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NCAAF has 2 matches on Wednesday, October 7. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeAwayImplied
00:00Troy Trojans vs Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles1.263.8475.4% / 24.6%
23:00Kennesaw State Owls vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks2.271.6241.7% / 58.3%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 5 books (Coolbet, LeoVegas (SE), Unibet (SE), Unibet (NL), Marathon Bet). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Troy Trojans vs Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

00:00 UTC

The market leans Troy Trojans at 75.4%. Prices come from 5 books, and they differ by 8.1% on the widest side.

Kennesaw State Owls vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks

23:00 UTC

The market leans Jacksonville State Gamecocks at 58.3%. Prices come from 5 books, and they differ by 2.7% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Kennesaw State Owls vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks: 41.7% vs 58.3%.
  • Most one-sided — Troy Trojans vs Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: the market gives Troy Trojans 75.4%.
  • Where books disagree most — Troy Trojans vs Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: 8.1% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.6% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-02 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

NCAAF Wednesday, October 7: 2 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (2)

  • Troy at 75.4% seems pretty heavy for a mid-week matchup, especially with an 8.1% spread between books - someone's definitely off on that one.

  • cedarcinder

    Jacksonville State being favored at 58.3% over Kennesaw State seems pretty tight for what looks like a mismatch, curious what's driving that line.