Bethropic

MLB Saturday, October 3: 2 matches, odds and implied probabilities

BetkyoSports0 views

MLB has 2 matches on Saturday, October 3. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeAwayImplied
17:01Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox1.642.2758.1% / 41.9%
22:31Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees1.732.1255.1% / 44.9%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 20 books (Coolbet, Unibet (NL), 888sport, LeoVegas (SE), Unibet (SE), Unibet (FR)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox

17:01 UTC

The market leans Cleveland Guardians at 58.1%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 18.5% on the widest side.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees

22:31 UTC

The market leans Tampa Bay Rays at 55.1%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 16.9% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees: 55.1% vs 44.9%.
  • Most one-sided — Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox: the market gives Cleveland Guardians 58.1%.
  • Where books disagree most — Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox: 18.5% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.2% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-02 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

MLB Saturday, October 3: 2 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (2)

  • ivory_brook

    White Sox at 41.9% seems like decent value if you think they can keep it close, that's a pretty tight spread for a Saturday matchup.

  • spindle681

    Yankees at 44.9% against TB is interesting given the 16.9% price variance across books, means some shops are liking them more than others.