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Bundesliga Friday, October 9: 1 match, odds and implied probabilities

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Bundesliga has 1 match on Friday, October 9. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
18:30Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen1.375.397.1269.2% / 17.6% / 13.3%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 22 books (Pinnacle, Betclic (FR), 1xBet, Winamax (DE), Winamax (FR), Codere (IT)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

18:30 UTC

The market leans Borussia Dortmund at 69.2%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 28.0% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: 69.2% vs 13.3%.
  • Most one-sided — Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: the market gives Borussia Dortmund 69.2%.
  • Where books disagree most — Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: 28.0% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.7% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-04 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

Bundesliga Friday, October 9: 1 match, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (2)

  • amber_willow

    That 28% spread on the widest odds is pretty wild for a match where the favorite is that heavily favored already.

  • brittlemarten75

    Bremen at 7.12 seems pretty generous if Dortmund's that dominant, might be worth a look there.