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La Liga Friday, October 9: 1 match, odds and implied probabilities

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La Liga has 1 match on Friday, October 9. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
19:00Málaga vs Espanyol2.683.202.6935.3% / 29.5% / 35.2%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 19 books (Pinnacle, Winamax (DE), Unibet (FR), Betclic (FR), Winamax (FR), Codere (IT)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Málaga vs Espanyol

19:00 UTC

The market can barely separate them — 35.3% against 35.2%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 15.2% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Málaga vs Espanyol: 35.3% vs 35.2%.
  • Most one-sided — Málaga vs Espanyol: the market gives Málaga 35.3%.
  • Where books disagree most — Málaga vs Espanyol: 15.2% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.8% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-04 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

La Liga Friday, October 9: 1 match, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (2)

  • slowbeacon53

    Market basically saying this one's a coin flip between Málaga and Espanyol with the draw at nearly 30%, makes sense for evenly matched teams.

  • winter_ledger70

    The 15.2% spread between best and worst odds on this match is wild — definitely worth shopping around before placing anything.