Bundesliga has 6 matches on Saturday, October 10. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:30 | Augsburg vs Bayern Munich | 10.31 | 8.02 | 1.20 | 9.2% / 11.8% / 79.0% |
| 13:30 | FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2.90 | 3.86 | 2.20 | 32.6% / 24.5% / 42.9% |
| 13:30 | Union Berlin vs Elversberg | 2.24 | 3.83 | 2.86 | 42.2% / 24.7% / 33.1% |
| 13:30 | TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV | 1.41 | 4.94 | 6.49 | 66.5% / 19.0% / 14.5% |
| 13:30 | SC Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart | 4.77 | 4.58 | 1.59 | 19.8% / 20.6% / 59.5% |
| 16:30 | RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.53 | 4.85 | 5.03 | 61.8% / 19.4% / 18.8% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 23 books (Pinnacle, Betclic (FR), 1xBet, Winamax (DE), Winamax (FR), Codere (IT)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Augsburg vs Bayern Munich
13:30 UTC
The market leans Bayern Munich at 79.0%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 54.8% on the widest side.
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
13:30 UTC
The market leans Bayer Leverkusen at 42.9%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 12.7% on the widest side.
Union Berlin vs Elversberg
13:30 UTC
The market leans Union Berlin at 42.2%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 13.7% on the widest side.
TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV
13:30 UTC
The market leans TSG Hoffenheim at 66.5%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 20.2% on the widest side.
SC Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart
13:30 UTC
The market leans VfB Stuttgart at 59.5%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 15.5% on the widest side.
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt
16:30 UTC
The market leans RB Leipzig at 61.8%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 19.6% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Union Berlin vs Elversberg: 42.2% vs 33.1%.
- Most one-sided — Augsburg vs Bayern Munich: the market gives Bayern Munich 79.0%.
- Where books disagree most — Augsburg vs Bayern Munich: 54.8% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 5.9% across the slate.
Prices captured 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC. Odds move.