EPL has 6 matches on Saturday, October 10. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:30 | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 1.38 | 4.97 | 7.94 | 68.9% / 19.1% / 12.0% |
| 14:00 | Aston Villa vs Brentford | 2.63 | 3.54 | 2.55 | 36.0% / 26.8% / 37.1% |
| 14:00 | Chelsea vs Bournemouth | 1.72 | 4.11 | 4.33 | 55.0% / 23.1% / 21.9% |
| 14:00 | Sunderland vs Brighton and Hove Albion | 2.90 | 3.47 | 2.37 | 32.7% / 27.3% / 40.0% |
| 14:00 | Ipswich Town vs Fulham | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.51 | 35.1% / 27.1% / 37.8% |
| 16:30 | Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur | 1.71 | 4.17 | 4.40 | 55.7% / 22.8% / 21.6% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 23 books (Codere (IT), Unibet (FR), Winamax (DE), 888sport, Betclic (FR), 1xBet). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Arsenal vs Leeds United
11:30 UTC
The market leans Arsenal at 68.9%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 36.3% on the widest side.
Aston Villa vs Brentford
14:00 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 36.0% against 37.1%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 12.1% on the widest side.
Chelsea vs Bournemouth
14:00 UTC
The market leans Chelsea at 55.0%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 17.5% on the widest side.
Sunderland vs Brighton and Hove Albion
14:00 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 32.7% against 40.0%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 10.9% on the widest side.
Ipswich Town vs Fulham
14:00 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 35.1% against 37.8%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 13.2% on the widest side.
Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur
16:30 UTC
The market leans Manchester United at 55.7%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 17.5% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Aston Villa vs Brentford: 36.0% vs 37.1%.
- Most one-sided — Arsenal vs Leeds United: the market gives Arsenal 68.9%.
- Where books disagree most — Arsenal vs Leeds United: 36.3% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 5.3% across the slate.
Prices captured 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC. Odds move.