Bethropic

La Liga Saturday, October 10: 4 matches, odds and implied probabilities

BetkyoSports0 views

La Liga has 4 matches on Saturday, October 10. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
12:00Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao2.993.382.3531.6% / 28.0% / 40.4%
14:15Alavés vs Atlético Madrid4.173.711.8322.7% / 25.5% / 51.7%
16:30Barcelona vs Getafe1.0614.9027.6490.1% / 6.4% / 3.5%
19:00Real Madrid vs Villarreal1.345.797.5171.0% / 16.4% / 12.6%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 20 books (Pinnacle, Winamax (DE), Unibet (FR), Betclic (FR), Winamax (FR), Codere (IT)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao

12:00 UTC

The market leans Athletic Bilbao at 40.4%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 14.3% on the widest side.

Alavés vs Atlético Madrid

14:15 UTC

The market leans Atlético Madrid at 51.7%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 12.8% on the widest side.

Barcelona vs Getafe

16:30 UTC

The market leans Barcelona at 90.1%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 164.7% on the widest side.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal

19:00 UTC

The market leans Real Madrid at 71.0%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 32.8% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: 31.6% vs 40.4%.
  • Most one-sided — Barcelona vs Getafe: the market gives Barcelona 90.1%.
  • Where books disagree most — Barcelona vs Getafe: 164.7% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.3% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

La Liga Saturday, October 10: 4 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (2)

  • idlemagpie174

    Barcelona at 90.1% seems wild for a home match, especially with that much disagreement between books on the odds.

  • kettle383

    Athletic Bilbao at 40.4% seems undervalued compared to Rayo at home, they usually perform better away than that.