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Ligue 1 Saturday, October 10: 5 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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Ligue 1 has 5 matches on Saturday, October 10. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
15:15Lille vs Le Havre1.434.636.8065.8% / 20.4% / 13.9%
18:45AS Monaco vs Toulouse1.614.235.0458.9% / 22.4% / 18.8%
18:45Brest vs Angers1.943.693.6748.7% / 25.6% / 25.7%
18:45Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans FC1.0712.4125.4188.6% / 7.7% / 3.7%
18:45Lorient vs Paris FC3.023.342.3331.2% / 28.2% / 40.5%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 22 books (Pinnacle, Winamax (FR), Winamax (DE), Codere (IT), 1xBet, Unibet (FR)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Lille vs Le Havre

15:15 UTC

The market leans Lille at 65.8%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 25.0% on the widest side.

AS Monaco vs Toulouse

18:45 UTC

The market leans AS Monaco at 58.9%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 17.4% on the widest side.

Brest vs Angers

18:45 UTC

The market leans Brest at 48.7%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 15.9% on the widest side.

Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans FC

18:45 UTC

The market leans Paris Saint Germain at 88.6%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 123.5% on the widest side.

Lorient vs Paris FC

18:45 UTC

The market leans Paris FC at 40.5%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 11.4% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Lorient vs Paris FC: 31.2% vs 40.5%.
  • Most one-sided — Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans FC: the market gives Paris Saint Germain 88.6%.
  • Where books disagree most — Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans FC: 123.5% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.8% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

Ligue 1 Saturday, October 10: 5 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (2)

  • ambersparrow595

    PSG vs Le Mans showing 123.5% spread is wild, that's a massive discrepancy across the books for such a lopsided match.

  • idleember91

    Brest-Angers being basically a coin flip at 48.7%-25.7% is interesting given it's supposed to be a pretty straightforward matchup.