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MLS Saturday, October 10: 9 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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MLS has 9 matches on Saturday, October 10. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
17:00Toronto FC vs CF Montreal1.913.793.4248.5% / 24.4% / 27.0%
18:30Chicago Fire vs New York City FC1.723.773.7352.2% / 23.7% / 24.0%
23:30Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati2.203.622.6140.8% / 24.8% / 34.4%
23:30Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas2.063.562.8743.6% / 25.2% / 31.3%
23:30Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew SC2.013.742.9044.9% / 24.1% / 31.1%
23:30Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United1.335.246.3568.3% / 17.4% / 14.3%
23:30New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC1.863.773.5649.6% / 24.5% / 25.9%
23:30New York Red Bulls vs San Diego FC2.453.602.3236.6% / 24.9% / 38.5%
23:30Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake1.394.926.1966.3% / 18.8% / 14.9%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 20 books (Winamax (DE), Marathon Bet, 888sport, William Hill, 1xBet, Betclic (FR)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Toronto FC vs CF Montreal

17:00 UTC

The market leans Toronto FC at 48.5%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 20.3% on the widest side.

Chicago Fire vs New York City FC

18:30 UTC

The market leans Chicago Fire at 52.2%. Prices come from 17 books, and they differ by 276.4% on the widest side.

Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati

23:30 UTC

The market can barely separate them — 40.8% against 34.4%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 182.2% on the widest side.

Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas

23:30 UTC

The market leans Charlotte FC at 43.6%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 188.2% on the widest side.

Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew SC

23:30 UTC

The market leans Orlando City SC at 44.9%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 191.8% on the widest side.

Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United

23:30 UTC

The market leans Inter Miami CF at 68.3%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 609.1% on the widest side.

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC

23:30 UTC

The market leans New England Revolution at 49.6%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 20.3% on the widest side.

New York Red Bulls vs San Diego FC

23:30 UTC

The market can barely separate them — 36.6% against 38.5%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 145.5% on the widest side.

Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake

23:30 UTC

The market leans Philadelphia Union at 66.3%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 34.6% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — New York Red Bulls vs San Diego FC: 36.6% vs 38.5%.
  • Most one-sided — Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United: the market gives Inter Miami CF 68.3%.
  • Where books disagree most — Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United: 609.1% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 10.2% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

MLS Saturday, October 10: 9 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (2)

  • aldercandle

    Inter Miami being 68% favorites against DC United seems wild, almost feels like there's value on the upset there.

  • brook402

    Chicago Fire's odds varying by 276% across books is crazy, that's gotta be worth shopping around for.