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NFL Sunday, October 11: 12 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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NFL has 12 matches on Sunday, October 11. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeAwayImplied
13:30Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles1.333.3771.7% / 28.3%
17:00Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears2.241.6542.4% / 57.6%
17:00Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals3.911.2624.4% / 75.6%
17:00New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns1.762.0754.0% / 46.0%
17:00Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans3.511.3027.0% / 73.0%
17:00Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts1.712.1555.7% / 44.3%
17:00New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders1.512.5863.1% / 36.9%
17:00New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings1.981.8147.8% / 52.2%
17:00Washington Commanders vs New York Giants1.542.5262.1% / 37.9%
20:05Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos2.541.5237.4% / 62.6%
20:25Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions2.821.4233.6% / 66.4%
20:25Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers1.642.2958.3% / 41.7%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 19 books (Nordic Bet, Betsson, Betclic (FR), William Hill, MyBookie.ag, BetOnline.ag). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles

13:30 UTC

The market leans Jacksonville Jaguars at 71.7%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 23.7% on the widest side.

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

17:00 UTC

The market leans Chicago Bears at 57.6%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 20.8% on the widest side.

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

17:00 UTC

The market leans Cincinnati Bengals at 75.6%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 15.5% on the widest side.

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

17:00 UTC

The market can barely separate them — 54.0% against 46.0%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 21.3% on the widest side.

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

17:00 UTC

The market leans Houston Texans at 73.0%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 19.4% on the widest side.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

17:00 UTC

The market leans Pittsburgh Steelers at 55.7%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 20.2% on the widest side.

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

17:00 UTC

The market leans New England Patriots at 63.1%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 18.4% on the widest side.

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings

17:00 UTC

The market can barely separate them — 47.8% against 52.2%. Prices come from 16 books, and they differ by 15.6% on the widest side.

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

17:00 UTC

The market leans Washington Commanders at 62.1%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 17.6% on the widest side.

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

20:05 UTC

The market leans Denver Broncos at 62.6%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 16.2% on the widest side.

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions

20:25 UTC

The market leans Detroit Lions at 66.4%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 28.0% on the widest side.

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

20:25 UTC

The market leans Seattle Seahawks at 58.3%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 16.2% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings: 47.8% vs 52.2%.
  • Most one-sided — Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals: the market gives Cincinnati Bengals 75.6%.
  • Where books disagree most — Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions: 28.0% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.2% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-06 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

NFL Sunday, October 11: 12 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (2)

  • northmeadow

    Cincy over Miami at 75.6% feels like a lot, that line seems way off for a divisional matchup.

  • iron_alley

    Denver at 62.6% against LA seems pretty high, chargers usually show up in these matchups