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Bundesliga Sunday, October 11: 2 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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Bundesliga has 2 matches on Sunday, October 11. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
13:301. FC Köln vs Borussia Monchengladbach1.984.003.3047.8% / 23.6% / 28.6%
15:30SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 041.644.035.0557.8% / 23.5% / 18.7%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 23 books (Pinnacle, Betclic (FR), 1xBet, Winamax (DE), Winamax (FR), Codere (IT)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

1. FC Köln vs Borussia Monchengladbach

13:30 UTC

The market leans 1. FC Köln at 47.8%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 19.0% on the widest side.

SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04

15:30 UTC

The market leans SC Freiburg at 57.8%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 15.7% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Monchengladbach: 47.8% vs 28.6%.
  • Most one-sided — SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04: the market gives SC Freiburg 57.8%.
  • Where books disagree most — 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Monchengladbach: 19.0% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.8% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-06 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

Bundesliga Sunday, October 11: 2 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (2)

  • idle_candle

    That 19% spread on the Köln match is wild - books are all over the place on that one.

  • willow614

    Freiburg at 57.8% is pretty heavy favoring, surprised Schalke is that much of a dog given they're both in the league.