J League has 4 matches on Sunday, October 11. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | JEF United Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki | 2.63 | 3.27 | 2.43 | 34.6% / 27.9% / 37.5% |
| 06:00 | Tokyo Verdy vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC | 6.53 | 4.38 | 1.41 | 14.0% / 20.9% / 65.1% |
| 06:00 | Mito HollyHock vs Shimizu S Pulse | 2.60 | 3.22 | 2.52 | 35.2% / 28.5% / 36.4% |
| 07:00 | Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus | 1.78 | 3.86 | 3.69 | 51.5% / 23.7% / 24.8% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 14 books (Betsson, Coolbet, Unibet (FR), Nordic Bet, Betclic (FR), Pinnacle). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
JEF United Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki
05:00 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 34.6% against 37.5%. Prices come from 13 books, and they differ by 13.3% on the widest side.
Tokyo Verdy vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC
06:00 UTC
The market leans Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC at 65.1%. Prices come from 14 books, and they differ by 31.6% on the widest side.
Mito HollyHock vs Shimizu S Pulse
06:00 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 35.2% against 36.4%. Prices come from 14 books, and they differ by 15.2% on the widest side.
Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus
07:00 UTC
The market leans Kawasaki Frontale at 51.5%. Prices come from 14 books, and they differ by 20.3% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Mito HollyHock vs Shimizu S Pulse: 35.2% vs 36.4%.
- Most one-sided — Tokyo Verdy vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC: the market gives Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC 65.1%.
- Where books disagree most — Tokyo Verdy vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC: 31.6% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 9.3% across the slate.
Prices captured 2026-10-06 00:00 UTC. Odds move.