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La Liga Sunday, October 11: 4 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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La Liga has 4 matches on Sunday, October 11. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
12:00Elche CF vs Celta Vigo2.773.232.5934.1% / 29.3% / 36.5%
14:15Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña1.683.924.9356.6% / 24.2% / 19.2%
16:30Real Betis vs CA Osasuna1.594.175.3159.5% / 22.7% / 17.8%
19:00Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia2.193.543.1543.1% / 26.8% / 30.1%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 20 books (Pinnacle, Winamax (DE), Unibet (FR), Betclic (FR), Winamax (FR), Codere (IT)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Elche CF vs Celta Vigo

12:00 UTC

The market can barely separate them — 34.1% against 36.5%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 13.3% on the widest side.

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña

14:15 UTC

The market leans Real Sociedad at 56.6%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 17.8% on the widest side.

Real Betis vs CA Osasuna

16:30 UTC

The market leans Real Betis at 59.5%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 27.7% on the widest side.

Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia

19:00 UTC

The market leans Real Racing Club de Santander at 43.1%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 11.7% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Elche CF vs Celta Vigo: 34.1% vs 36.5%.
  • Most one-sided — Real Betis vs CA Osasuna: the market gives Real Betis 59.5%.
  • Where books disagree most — Real Betis vs CA Osasuna: 27.7% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.6% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-06 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

La Liga Sunday, October 11: 4 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (2)

  • sable5563

    Real Betis looking pretty heavily favored at 59.5% but that 27.7% spread across books is wild, might be worth shopping around on that one.

  • teal378

    Racing vs Valencia looks like the tightest matchup odds-wise but the market still gives Racing a 43.1% edge, kinda surprising given how close the prices are.