Serie A has 5 matches on Sunday, October 11. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:30 | Como vs AS Roma | 2.54 | 3.54 | 2.62 | 37.2% / 26.7% / 36.0% |
| 13:00 | Lecce vs Bologna | 4.22 | 3.31 | 1.93 | 22.4% / 28.6% / 49.0% |
| 13:00 | Lazio vs Monza | 1.57 | 4.01 | 5.81 | 60.1% / 23.6% / 16.3% |
| 16:00 | Sassuolo vs AC Milan | 4.25 | 3.77 | 1.80 | 22.3% / 25.1% / 52.6% |
| 18:45 | Cagliari vs Juventus | 6.23 | 3.90 | 1.56 | 15.2% / 24.2% / 60.6% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 22 books (Unibet (NL), Unibet (SE), LeoVegas (SE), Pinnacle, Unibet (FR), Winamax (FR)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Como vs AS Roma
10:30 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 37.2% against 36.0%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 14.5% on the widest side.
Lecce vs Bologna
13:00 UTC
The market leans Bologna at 49.0%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 22.7% on the widest side.
Lazio vs Monza
13:00 UTC
The market leans Lazio at 60.1%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 20.8% on the widest side.
Sassuolo vs AC Milan
16:00 UTC
The market leans AC Milan at 52.6%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 15.4% on the widest side.
Cagliari vs Juventus
18:45 UTC
The market leans Juventus at 60.6%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 27.3% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Como vs AS Roma: 37.2% vs 36.0%.
- Most one-sided — Cagliari vs Juventus: the market gives Juventus 60.6%.
- Where books disagree most — Cagliari vs Juventus: 27.3% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 5.7% across the slate.
Prices captured 2026-10-06 00:00 UTC. Odds move.