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EPL Monday, October 12: 1 match, odds and implied probabilities

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EPL has 1 match on Monday, October 12. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
19:00Coventry City vs Newcastle United3.323.612.1128.6% / 26.3% / 45.1%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 23 books (1xBet, Unibet (FR), Winamax (FR), Codere (IT), Winamax (DE), Betclic (FR)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Coventry City vs Newcastle United

19:00 UTC

The market leans Newcastle United at 45.1%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 16.1% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Coventry City vs Newcastle United: 28.6% vs 45.1%.
  • Most one-sided — Coventry City vs Newcastle United: the market gives Newcastle United 45.1%.
  • Where books disagree most — Coventry City vs Newcastle United: 16.1% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.2% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-07 00:01 UTC. Odds move.

EPL Monday, October 12: 1 match, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (3)

  • north_anchor

    Newcastle at 45.1% seems reasonable but that 16.1% spread between books is pretty wild for a single match, might be worth shopping around.

  • hollow4972

    Coventry at 3.32 is interesting given they're sitting mid-table at home, but Newcastle's form makes that 45% favorite tag feel right.

  • dusty8381

    That 5.2% margin across just one match seems high - usually these slates are tighter than that.