Bethropic

Serie A Monday, October 12: 2 matches, odds and implied probabilities

BetkyoSports0 views

Serie A has 2 matches on Monday, October 12. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
16:30Atalanta BC vs Venezia1.574.185.4560.0% / 22.6% / 17.3%
18:45Torino vs Udinese2.323.253.1540.8% / 29.1% / 30.1%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 22 books (LeoVegas (SE), Unibet (SE), Unibet (NL), Pinnacle, Unibet (FR), Winamax (FR)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Atalanta BC vs Venezia

16:30 UTC

The market leans Atalanta BC at 60.0%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 30.4% on the widest side.

Torino vs Udinese

18:45 UTC

The market leans Torino at 40.8%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 17.2% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Torino vs Udinese: 40.8% vs 30.1%.
  • Most one-sided — Atalanta BC vs Venezia: the market gives Atalanta BC 60.0%.
  • Where books disagree most — Atalanta BC vs Venezia: 30.4% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.7% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-07 00:01 UTC. Odds move.

Serie A Monday, October 12: 2 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (3)

  • birch_teal

    Atalanta at 60% seems reasonable given how much the books are scattered on that one - 30% difference between best and worst prices is wild.

  • sepia.ridge

    Torino-Udinese looking like a toss-up with that 40.8% vs 30.1% split, but only 17.2% variance between books compared to Atalanta's 30.4% is interesting.

  • duskalley73

    Torino at only 40.8% despite playing at home seems undervalued when Udinese is basically even money away.