MLS has 6 matches on Wednesday, October 14. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:30 | CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC | 2.00 | 3.49 | 2.93 | 44.4% / 25.4% / 30.2% |
| 23:30 | Columbus Crew SC vs Charlotte FC | 1.95 | 3.52 | 3.03 | 45.4% / 25.2% / 29.3% |
| 23:30 | D.C. United vs New York Red Bulls | 1.72 | 3.73 | 3.64 | 51.7% / 23.8% / 24.4% |
| 23:30 | FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution | 1.94 | 3.75 | 2.90 | 45.7% / 23.7% / 30.7% |
| 23:30 | Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC | 1.39 | 4.59 | 5.49 | 64.2% / 19.5% / 16.3% |
| 23:30 | Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC | 2.17 | 3.67 | 2.49 | 40.6% / 24.0% / 35.4% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 16 books (1xBet, 888sport, Unibet (FR), Winamax (FR), Winamax (DE), William Hill). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC
23:30 UTC
The market leans CF Montreal at 44.4%. Prices come from 16 books, and they differ by 214.9% on the widest side.
Columbus Crew SC vs Charlotte FC
23:30 UTC
The market leans Columbus Crew SC at 45.4%. Prices come from 16 books, and they differ by 236.6% on the widest side.
D.C. United vs New York Red Bulls
23:30 UTC
The market leans D.C. United at 51.7%. Prices come from 16 books, and they differ by 303.0% on the widest side.
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution
23:30 UTC
The market leans FC Cincinnati at 45.7%. Prices come from 16 books, and they differ by 217.8% on the widest side.
Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC
23:30 UTC
The market leans Inter Miami CF at 64.2%. Prices come from 16 books, and they differ by 573.3% on the widest side.
Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC
23:30 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 40.6% against 35.4%. Prices come from 14 books, and they differ by 197.0% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC: 40.6% vs 35.4%.
- Most one-sided — Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC: the market gives Inter Miami CF 64.2%.
- Where books disagree most — Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC: 573.3% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 12.7% across the slate.
Reading the slate
Wednesday's MLS slate features six simultaneous matches with broadly similar margins across the board, ranging from 11.8% to 13.6%. The most consensus-backed outcome is Inter Miami's home advantage against New York City FC, where the market prices the hosts at 64.2% implied probability—substantially higher than any other fixture. That 573.3% book spread reflects tight agreement among sportsbooks on Miami's edge. By contrast, the most fragmented view comes in Toronto versus Orlando City, where books diverge most at 197.0% spread; the 35.4% away probability for Orlando sits notably higher than typical visiting-side pricing on this slate, suggesting some bookmakers see more competitive value in the visitors.
D.C. United versus New York Red Bulls emerges as the match the market views as most evenly matched by home advantage, with the hosts priced at just 51.7%—barely above even odds. This aligns with the smallest spread differential between home and away (27.3 percentage points), and while D.C. are favored, the market's assessment is cautious. Montreal's home fixture against Atlanta is relatively close at 44.4% implied, as is Cincinnati's positioning against New England at 45.7%, suggesting both hosts face genuine uncertainty despite playing at home.
Across the three 45-50% home probabilities (Montreal, Columbus, Cincinnati), the market sees competitive affairs where the home venue offers modest but real advantage. The New England draw probability of 23.7% is notably lower than most other fixtures, while Miami-NYCFC has the lowest draw rate at 19.5%, indicating these matches carry expectations for decisive outcomes rather than stalemates.
Prices captured 2026-10-09 00:00 UTC. Odds move.