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Ligue 1 Friday, October 16: 1 match, odds and implied probabilities

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Ligue 1 has 1 match on Friday, October 16. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
18:45Le Mans FC vs Toulouse3.043.442.2430.8% / 27.3% / 41.9%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 17 books (Pinnacle, William Hill, Betclic (FR), Unibet (FR), 888sport, Winamax (DE)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Le Mans FC vs Toulouse

18:45 UTC

The market leans Toulouse at 41.9%. Prices come from 17 books, and they differ by 20.0% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Le Mans FC vs Toulouse: 30.8% vs 41.9%.
  • Most one-sided — Le Mans FC vs Toulouse: the market gives Toulouse 41.9%.
  • Where books disagree most — Le Mans FC vs Toulouse: 20.0% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 6.6% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-11 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

Ligue 1 Friday, October 16: 1 match, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (3)

  • hollow_shoal83

    Toulouse at 41.9% seems reasonable but that 20% spread between books is pretty wide, might be worth shopping around.

  • Le Mans getting under 31% feels too harsh, they're not that bad at home.

  • meadow187

    That 6.6% average margin is pretty reasonable for a single match slate, not getting squeezed too bad here.