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Serie A Friday, October 16: 1 match, odds and implied probabilities

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Serie A has 1 match on Friday, October 16. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
18:45Frosinone vs Sassuolo2.403.492.7739.2% / 26.9% / 33.9%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 18 books (Pinnacle, Codere (IT), Unibet (FR), Winamax (FR), Winamax (DE), 1xBet). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Frosinone vs Sassuolo

18:45 UTC

The market can barely separate them — 39.2% against 33.9%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 18.4% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Frosinone vs Sassuolo: 39.2% vs 33.9%.
  • Most one-sided — Frosinone vs Sassuolo: the market gives Frosinone 39.2%.
  • Where books disagree most — Frosinone vs Sassuolo: 18.4% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 6.4% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-11 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

Serie A Friday, October 16: 1 match, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (3)

  • murky5993

    Only one match and it's basically a toss-up between Frosinone and Sassuolo? That's a pretty thin slate for Friday.

  • blue9861

    18.4% variance across books on a single match is wild, definitely worth shopping around before placing anything.

  • midnightharbor

    Surprised the draw is given such low odds at 26.9% when the home/away percentages are so close to each other.