NCAAF has 42 matches on Saturday, October 17. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Appalachian State Mountaineers | 1.94 | 1.86 | 48.9% / 51.1% |
| 00:00 | Purdue Boilermakers vs Washington Huskies | 1.63 | 2.29 | 58.5% / 41.5% |
| 16:00 | Army Black Knights vs Florida Atlantic Owls | 1.68 | 2.20 | 56.7% / 43.3% |
| 16:00 | Bowling Green Falcons vs Ball State Cardinals | 1.33 | 3.36 | 71.7% / 28.3% |
| 16:00 | Boston College Eagles vs Pittsburgh Panthers | 2.84 | 1.43 | 33.5% / 66.5% |
| 16:00 | West Virginia Mountaineers vs Cincinnati Bearcats | 1.80 | 2.01 | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| 16:00 | Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators | 1.25 | 3.92 | 75.8% / 24.2% |
| 16:00 | James Madison Dukes vs Georgia State Panthers | 1.19 | 4.67 | 79.7% / 20.3% |
| 16:00 | Indiana Hoosiers vs Ohio State Buckeyes | 2.46 | 1.55 | 38.6% / 61.4% |
| 16:00 | Kansas State Wildcats vs Kansas Jayhawks | 1.41 | 2.90 | 67.2% / 32.8% |
| 16:00 | LSU Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs | 1.22 | 4.28 | 77.8% / 22.2% |
| 16:00 | Michigan State Spartans vs Northwestern Wildcats | 3.88 | 1.26 | 24.5% / 75.5% |
| 16:00 | SMU Mustangs vs Virginia Cavaliers | 1.31 | 3.49 | 72.7% / 27.3% |
| 16:30 | Maryland Terrapins vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 1.49 | 2.64 | 63.9% / 36.1% |
| 17:00 | Buffalo Bulls vs UMass Minutemen | 1.57 | 2.43 | 60.7% / 39.2% |
| 17:00 | Temple Owls vs Charlotte 49ers | 1.04 | 11.64 | 91.8% / 8.2% |
| 17:30 | Central Michigan Chippewas vs Western Michigan Broncos | 3.28 | 1.34 | 29.0% / 71.0% |
| 19:30 | Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Rebels | 1.96 | 1.84 | 48.5% / 51.5% |
| 19:30 | Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Akron Zips | 1.24 | 4.11 | 76.8% / 23.2% |
| 19:30 | Tennessee Volunteers vs Alabama Crimson Tide | 3.37 | 1.33 | 28.3% / 71.7% |
| 19:30 | Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Arizona State Sun Devils | 1.14 | 5.69 | 83.3% / 16.7% |
| 19:30 | Georgia Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers | 1.07 | 8.74 | 89.1% / 10.9% |
| 19:30 | Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels | 1.57 | 2.41 | 60.6% / 39.4% |
| 19:30 | Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Toledo Rockets | 2.64 | 1.49 | 36.0% / 64.0% |
| 19:30 | Virginia Tech Hokies vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 1.27 | 3.83 | 75.1% / 24.9% |
| 19:30 | Michigan Wolverines vs Penn State Nittany Lions | 1.43 | 2.81 | 66.2% / 33.8% |
| 19:30 | Ole Miss Rebels vs Missouri Tigers | 1.44 | 2.81 | 66.1% / 33.9% |
| 19:30 | Wyoming Cowboys vs Northern Illinois Huskies | 1.32 | 3.40 | 72.1% / 27.9% |
| 20:30 | Rice Owls vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 2.54 | 1.52 | 37.5% / 62.5% |
| 21:00 | Louisiana Ragin Cajuns vs Troy Trojans | 1.53 | 2.53 | 62.3% / 37.7% |
| 22:00 | Oregon State Beavers vs Washington State Cougars | 1.08 | 8.07 | 88.2% / 11.8% |
| 23:00 | Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arkansas Razorbacks | 1.42 | 2.87 | 66.9% / 33.1% |
| 23:00 | Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Arkansas State Red Wolves | 3.15 | 1.36 | 30.2% / 69.8% |
| 23:00 | Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs | 1.40 | 2.95 | 67.7% / 32.3% |
| 23:00 | Miami Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles | 1.05 | 10.44 | 90.9% / 9.1% |
| 23:00 | South Florida Bulls vs Kent State Golden Flashes | 1.06 | 9.40 | 89.9% / 10.1% |
| 23:00 | North Dakota State Bison vs Nevada Wolf Pack | 1.13 | 6.09 | 84.4% / 15.6% |
| 23:30 | BYU Cougars vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 4.31 | 1.22 | 22.0% / 78.0% |
| 23:30 | Houston Cougars vs Oklahoma State Cowboys | 1.53 | 2.52 | 62.2% / 37.8% |
| 23:30 | Oklahoma Sooners vs Kentucky Wildcats | 1.35 | 3.20 | 70.3% / 29.7% |
| 23:30 | Syracuse Orange vs Louisville Cardinals | 5.07 | 1.17 | 18.7% / 81.3% |
| 23:30 | UCLA Bruins vs Wisconsin Badgers | 1.62 | 2.30 | 58.7% / 41.3% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 12 books (William Hill, Coolbet, Nordic Bet, Betsson, LeoVegas (SE), Unibet (NL)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Appalachian State Mountaineers
00:00 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 48.9% against 51.1%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 9.3% on the widest side.
Purdue Boilermakers vs Washington Huskies
00:00 UTC
The market leans Purdue Boilermakers at 58.5%. Prices come from 11 books, and they differ by 10.1% on the widest side.
Army Black Knights vs Florida Atlantic Owls
16:00 UTC
The market leans Army Black Knights at 56.7%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 7.1% on the widest side.
Bowling Green Falcons vs Ball State Cardinals
16:00 UTC
The market leans Bowling Green Falcons at 71.7%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 9.2% on the widest side.
Boston College Eagles vs Pittsburgh Panthers
16:00 UTC
The market leans Pittsburgh Panthers at 66.5%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 7.0% on the widest side.
West Virginia Mountaineers vs Cincinnati Bearcats
16:00 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 52.8% against 47.2%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 8.4% on the widest side.
Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators
16:00 UTC
The market leans Texas Longhorns at 75.8%. Prices come from 11 books, and they differ by 7.9% on the widest side.
James Madison Dukes vs Georgia State Panthers
16:00 UTC
The market leans James Madison Dukes at 79.7%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 13.2% on the widest side.
Indiana Hoosiers vs Ohio State Buckeyes
16:00 UTC
The market leans Ohio State Buckeyes at 61.4%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 6.7% on the widest side.
Kansas State Wildcats vs Kansas Jayhawks
16:00 UTC
The market leans Kansas State Wildcats at 67.2%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 10.0% on the widest side.
LSU Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
16:00 UTC
The market leans LSU Tigers at 77.8%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 4.8% on the widest side.
Michigan State Spartans vs Northwestern Wildcats
16:00 UTC
The market leans Northwestern Wildcats at 75.5%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 14.4% on the widest side.
SMU Mustangs vs Virginia Cavaliers
16:00 UTC
The market leans SMU Mustangs at 72.7%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 10.4% on the widest side.
Maryland Terrapins vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights
16:30 UTC
The market leans Maryland Terrapins at 63.9%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 4.6% on the widest side.
Buffalo Bulls vs UMass Minutemen
17:00 UTC
The market leans Buffalo Bulls at 60.7%. Prices come from 6 books, and they differ by 5.2% on the widest side.
Temple Owls vs Charlotte 49ers
17:00 UTC
The market leans Temple Owls at 91.8%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 31.6% on the widest side.
Central Michigan Chippewas vs Western Michigan Broncos
17:30 UTC
The market leans Western Michigan Broncos at 71.0%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 6.8% on the widest side.
Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Rebels
19:30 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 48.5% against 51.5%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 3.3% on the widest side.
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Akron Zips
19:30 UTC
The market leans Miami (OH) RedHawks at 76.8%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 4.0% on the widest side.
Tennessee Volunteers vs Alabama Crimson Tide
19:30 UTC
The market leans Alabama Crimson Tide at 71.7%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 9.4% on the widest side.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Arizona State Sun Devils
19:30 UTC
The market leans Texas Tech Red Raiders at 83.3%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 12.6% on the widest side.
Georgia Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers
19:30 UTC
The market leans Georgia Bulldogs at 89.1%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 24.3% on the widest side.
Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels
19:30 UTC
The market leans Duke Blue Devils at 60.6%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 8.1% on the widest side.
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Toledo Rockets
19:30 UTC
The market leans Toledo Rockets at 64.0%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 10.2% on the widest side.
Virginia Tech Hokies vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
19:30 UTC
The market leans Virginia Tech Hokies at 75.1%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 5.4% on the widest side.
Michigan Wolverines vs Penn State Nittany Lions
19:30 UTC
The market leans Michigan Wolverines at 66.2%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 2.8% on the widest side.
Ole Miss Rebels vs Missouri Tigers
19:30 UTC
The market leans Ole Miss Rebels at 66.1%. Prices come from 6 books, and they differ by 2.2% on the widest side.
Wyoming Cowboys vs Northern Illinois Huskies
19:30 UTC
The market leans Wyoming Cowboys at 72.1%. Prices come from 6 books, and they differ by 4.5% on the widest side.
Rice Owls vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane
20:30 UTC
The market leans Tulsa Golden Hurricane at 62.5%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 6.1% on the widest side.
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns vs Troy Trojans
21:00 UTC
The market leans Louisiana Ragin Cajuns at 62.3%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 8.1% on the widest side.
Oregon State Beavers vs Washington State Cougars
22:00 UTC
The market leans Oregon State Beavers at 88.2%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 26.8% on the widest side.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arkansas Razorbacks
23:00 UTC
The market leans Vanderbilt Commodores at 66.9%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 7.1% on the widest side.
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Arkansas State Red Wolves
23:00 UTC
The market leans Arkansas State Red Wolves at 69.8%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 8.2% on the widest side.
Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs
23:00 UTC
The market leans Baylor Bears at 67.7%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 3.1% on the widest side.
Miami Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles
23:00 UTC
The market leans Miami Hurricanes at 90.9%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 23.4% on the widest side.
South Florida Bulls vs Kent State Golden Flashes
23:00 UTC
The market leans South Florida Bulls at 89.9%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 32.2% on the widest side.
North Dakota State Bison vs Nevada Wolf Pack
23:00 UTC
The market leans North Dakota State Bison at 84.4%. Prices come from 6 books, and they differ by 10.7% on the widest side.
BYU Cougars vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
23:30 UTC
The market leans Notre Dame Fighting Irish at 78.0%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 9.8% on the widest side.
Houston Cougars vs Oklahoma State Cowboys
23:30 UTC
The market leans Houston Cougars at 62.2%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 8.2% on the widest side.
Oklahoma Sooners vs Kentucky Wildcats
23:30 UTC
The market leans Oklahoma Sooners at 70.3%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 12.0% on the widest side.
Syracuse Orange vs Louisville Cardinals
23:30 UTC
The market leans Louisville Cardinals at 81.3%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 8.4% on the widest side.
UCLA Bruins vs Wisconsin Badgers
23:30 UTC
The market leans UCLA Bruins at 58.7%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 7.8% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Appalachian State Mountaineers: 48.9% vs 51.1%.
- Most one-sided — Temple Owls vs Charlotte 49ers: the market gives Temple Owls 91.8%.
- Where books disagree most — South Florida Bulls vs Kent State Golden Flashes: 32.2% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 5.1% across the slate.
Reading the slate
Saturday's slate features several lopsided matchups where the market has priced in heavy favorites, but also a handful of genuinely tight contests. The most one-sided affairs are Temple over UMass (91.8% implied), Miami over Florida State (90.9%), and South Florida over Kent State (89.9%), all reflecting very low upset probability. On the opposite end, Syracuse faces Louisville as the heaviest underdog at just 18.7%, while BYU sits at 22.0% against Notre Dame. The tightest matches by implied probability are Coastal Carolina versus Appalachian State (48.9%–51.1%) and Air Force against UNLV (48.5%–51.5%), both near coin-flip territory.
Bookmaker agreement is tightest on several lines where the spread is small: Ole Miss–Missouri shows just a 2.2% gap between the book odds, Michigan–Penn State only 2.8%, and Air Force–UNLV just 3.3%. These suggest strong consensus among sportsbooks. Conversely, Temple–UMass and South Florida–Kent State exhibit massive 31.6% and 32.2% book spreads respectively, indicating considerable disagreement about the true probability even at heavily lopsided odds. Temple's 11 available books and South Florida's 7 show that consensus is elusive when one team is priced as such a heavy favorite.
The early-kickoff games offer some moderate variance in perceived certainty: Purdue leads Washington by 17 percentage points in implied probability, while Texas holds a 51.6-point edge over Florida. Later in the day, matchups like Duke–North Carolina (60.6%–39.4%) and Wyoming–Northern Illinois (72.1%–27.9%) sit in a middle ground where the favorite is favored but not dominant. Across the full slate, margins cluster tightly around 5% for both implied probability and book spread, suggesting consistent bookmaker overround and relatively stable confidence intervals regardless of the strength of the favorite.
Prices captured 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC. Odds move.