Ligue 1 has 5 matches on Sunday, October 18. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | Angers vs Marseille | 3.23 | 3.66 | 2.11 | 29.3% / 25.9% / 44.9% |
| 15:15 | Lorient vs AS Monaco | 3.65 | 3.44 | 2.03 | 25.9% / 27.5% / 46.6% |
| 15:15 | Le Havre vs Auxerre | 2.42 | 3.38 | 2.87 | 39.1% / 28.0% / 33.0% |
| 15:15 | Paris FC vs Rennes | 2.29 | 3.39 | 3.06 | 41.2% / 27.9% / 30.9% |
| 18:45 | Lyon vs Nice | 1.66 | 4.02 | 4.82 | 56.9% / 23.5% / 19.6% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 22 books (Pinnacle, William Hill, Betclic (FR), Unibet (FR), 888sport, Winamax (DE)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Angers vs Marseille
13:00 UTC
The market leans Marseille at 44.9%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 13.3% on the widest side.
Lorient vs AS Monaco
15:15 UTC
The market leans AS Monaco at 46.6%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 19.7% on the widest side.
Le Havre vs Auxerre
15:15 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 39.1% against 33.0%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 12.0% on the widest side.
Paris FC vs Rennes
15:15 UTC
The market leans Paris FC at 41.2%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 17.5% on the widest side.
Lyon vs Nice
18:45 UTC
The market leans Lyon at 56.9%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 15.6% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Le Havre vs Auxerre: 39.1% vs 33.0%.
- Most one-sided — Lyon vs Nice: the market gives Lyon 56.9%.
- Where books disagree most — Lorient vs AS Monaco: 19.7% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 5.8% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The Sunday Ligue 1 slate shows a clear hierarchy in market confidence, with Lyon versus Nice standing apart as the most decisive matchup. The market prices Lyon as heavy favorites at 56.9%, leaving just 19.6% for a Nice away win. That 37.3-percentage-point gap between the two sides is by far the largest on the day. By contrast, the other four matches all cluster tightly, with no favorite commanding more than 46.6% and several draws priced between 25% and 28%, suggesting genuine uncertainty across most of the slate.
Lorient versus Monaco presents the widest disagreement among bookmakers, with a 19.7 percentage-point spread separating the highest and lowest odds-implied probabilities across the 22 books consulted. This volatility suggests bookmakers are genuinely split on how to price an away victory at 46.6% implied probability. Angers versus Marseille and the two 15:15 fixtures at Le Havre and Paris FC show tighter book consensus, with spreads below 13.3 percentage points. The margin consistency across all matches—hovering around 5.7 to 5.8%—indicates uniform overround application.
Paris FC versus Rennes and Le Havre versus Auxerre emerge as the closest contests by implied probability outside Lyon's one-sided pricing, with the former giving the home side 41.2% and the latter splitting almost evenly at 39.1% home, 33.0% away. Both matches see the draw priced near 28%, consistent with matches where the bookmakers see genuine competitive balance. The day's betting pool is dominated by Lyon's clear market positioning against five other matches offering substantially tighter probability distributions.
Prices captured 2026-10-13 00:01 UTC. Odds move.