MLS has 8 matches on Sunday, October 18. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 4.27 | 3.97 | 1.56 | 20.8% / 22.3% / 56.9% |
| 00:30 | Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas | 2.02 | 3.32 | 2.96 | 43.7% / 26.5% / 29.8% |
| 00:30 | Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake | 2.59 | 3.55 | 2.14 | 34.0% / 24.8% / 41.2% |
| 02:30 | Seattle Sounders FC vs CF Montreal | 1.49 | 4.14 | 4.72 | 59.6% / 21.5% / 18.9% |
| 02:30 | Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids | 2.10 | 3.55 | 2.67 | 42.1% / 24.8% / 33.1% |
| 02:30 | LA Galaxy vs San Diego FC | 1.89 | 3.77 | 3.11 | 47.4% / 23.8% / 28.8% |
| 02:30 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC | 3.07 | 3.59 | 1.89 | 28.7% / 24.6% / 46.7% |
| 21:00 | FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew SC | 1.82 | 3.78 | 3.24 | 49.0% / 23.5% / 27.5% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 15 books (PMU (FR), Unibet (SE), LeoVegas (SE), Unibet (NL), Unibet (FR), Betclic (FR)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC
00:30 UTC
The market leans Vancouver Whitecaps FC at 56.9%. Prices come from 15 books, and they differ by 336.4% on the widest side.
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas
00:30 UTC
The market leans Houston Dynamo at 43.7%. Prices come from 15 books, and they differ by 190.9% on the widest side.
Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake
00:30 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 34.0% against 41.2%. Prices come from 15 books, and they differ by 161.8% on the widest side.
Seattle Sounders FC vs CF Montreal
02:30 UTC
The market leans Seattle Sounders FC at 59.6%. Prices come from 15 books, and they differ by 394.5% on the widest side.
Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids
02:30 UTC
The market leans Portland Timbers at 42.1%. Prices come from 15 books, and they differ by 166.4% on the widest side.
LA Galaxy vs San Diego FC
02:30 UTC
The market leans LA Galaxy at 47.4%. Prices come from 15 books, and they differ by 117.4% on the widest side.
San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC
02:30 UTC
The market leans Nashville SC at 46.7%. Prices come from 15 books, and they differ by 213.6% on the widest side.
FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew SC
21:00 UTC
The market leans FC Cincinnati at 49.0%. Prices come from 15 books, and they differ by 74.3% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake: 34.0% vs 41.2%.
- Most one-sided — Seattle Sounders FC vs CF Montreal: the market gives Seattle Sounders FC 59.6%.
- Where books disagree most — Seattle Sounders FC vs CF Montreal: 394.5% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 12.8% across the slate.
Reading the slate
Seattle Sounders versus Montreal shapes up as Sunday's most lopsided matchup in the market's eyes. The home side is priced at 59.6% to win, nearly three times Montreal's 18.9% win probability, leaving just 21.5% for the draw. This fifteen-point gap between first and second favourite is the largest on the slate. By contrast, the Austin-Vancouver fixture reads as heavily skewed the other way, with Vancouver favoured at 56.9% against Austin's 20.8%—a stark home underdog scenario where the Whitecaps' road win probability exceeds their hosts' chances by more than two-to-one.
The midday Pacific fixtures show relatively tight clustering around competitive pricing. Portland-Colorado sits at a 42-33 split, and Houston-Dallas offers 43.7% to the hosts against 29.8% away, both suggesting moderately favoured home sides without overwhelming market conviction. Real Salt Lake's 41.2% away probability against Sporting Kansas City represents another close-run contest. Most interesting is FC Cincinnati versus Columbus, where the home side's 49% win probability—barely moving the needle past even money—reflects extraordinary consensus among the fifteen books, yielding the slate's tightest book spread at just 74.3 points.
Austin-Vancouver stands furthest apart in bookmaker disagreement, with a spread of 336.4 points, suggesting genuine scatter in how different sportsbooks are modeling that matchup. Seattle-Montreal's 394.5-point spread is the widest on the card, indicating substantial variance in Vancouver's odds across the market despite the direction of consensus being clear.
Prices captured 2026-10-13 00:01 UTC. Odds move.