NCAAF has 9 matches on Sunday, October 18. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | UL Monroe Warhawks vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 5.91 | 1.14 | 16.1% / 83.9% |
| 00:00 | UTSA Roadrunners vs Navy Midshipmen | 1.37 | 3.10 | 69.3% / 30.7% |
| 01:00 | UTEP Miners vs San Jose State Spartans | 3.49 | 1.32 | 27.4% / 72.6% |
| 02:00 | Sacramento State Hornets vs Ohio Bobcats | 5.72 | 1.14 | 16.6% / 83.4% |
| 02:15 | Colorado Buffaloes vs Utah Utes | 6.30 | 1.12 | 15.1% / 84.9% |
| 02:30 | California Golden Bears vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 3.88 | 1.27 | 24.6% / 75.4% |
| 02:30 | San Diego State Aztecs vs Fresno State Bulldogs | 3.46 | 1.32 | 27.6% / 72.4% |
| 02:30 | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs New Mexico Lobos | 5.53 | 1.15 | 17.2% / 82.8% |
| 03:00 | Oregon Ducks vs Nebraska Cornhuskers | 1.32 | 3.37 | 71.8% / 28.2% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 12 books (BetOnline.ag, GTbets, Pinnacle, MyBookie.ag, Unibet (NL), LeoVegas (SE)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
00:00 UTC
The market leans Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at 83.9%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 14.2% on the widest side.
UTSA Roadrunners vs Navy Midshipmen
00:00 UTC
The market leans UTSA Roadrunners at 69.3%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 2.9% on the widest side.
UTEP Miners vs San Jose State Spartans
01:00 UTC
The market leans San Jose State Spartans at 72.6%. Prices come from 6 books, and they differ by 2.3% on the widest side.
Sacramento State Hornets vs Ohio Bobcats
02:00 UTC
The market leans Ohio Bobcats at 83.4%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 13.0% on the widest side.
Colorado Buffaloes vs Utah Utes
02:15 UTC
The market leans Utah Utes at 84.9%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 18.2% on the widest side.
California Golden Bears vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons
02:30 UTC
The market leans Wake Forest Demon Deacons at 75.4%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 7.8% on the widest side.
San Diego State Aztecs vs Fresno State Bulldogs
02:30 UTC
The market leans Fresno State Bulldogs at 72.4%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 9.2% on the widest side.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs New Mexico Lobos
02:30 UTC
The market leans New Mexico Lobos at 82.8%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 5.6% on the widest side.
Oregon Ducks vs Nebraska Cornhuskers
03:00 UTC
The market leans Oregon Ducks at 71.8%. Prices come from 12 books, and they differ by 7.3% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — UTSA Roadrunners vs Navy Midshipmen: 69.3% vs 30.7%.
- Most one-sided — Colorado Buffaloes vs Utah Utes: the market gives Utah Utes 84.9%.
- Where books disagree most — Colorado Buffaloes vs Utah Utes: 18.2% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 5.0% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The slate features a stark divide between lopsided matchups and closer contests. Three fixtures show the market pricing heavy favorites: Colorado over Sacramento State and UL Monroe are both priced around 83-84 percent for the away team, while Utah is favored even more decisively at 84.9 percent over Colorado. At the other end, Oregon and UTSA both sit near 71-72 percent for the home side, making these the closest decisions the market has on offer. The median match hovers around 70-30 territory, suggesting a slate tilted toward clear outcomes rather than competitive affairs.
Bookmaker disagreement is most pronounced in two contests. Colorado-Utah shows a 18.2 percent spread between the highest and lowest book odds despite eight books reporting, substantially wider than the 5.2 percent margin built into the implied probability itself. Similarly, UL Monroe-Louisiana Tech displays a 14.2 percent book spread relative to a 5.0 percent implied margin. This suggests genuine uncertainty or differing methodologies among oddsmakers on these particular games, even though the consensus clearly favors Utah and Louisiana Tech respectively. The Oregon-Nebraska line, by contrast, shows bookmakers in tighter agreement with only a 7.3 percent spread across 12 books.
Several games display narrow splits between implied probability and book spread, indicating strong consensus. UTSA-Navy sits just 2.9 points apart, and UTEP-San Jose State is 2.3 points apart, suggesting oddsmakers see these decisions as fairly straightforward even if the absolute probability isn't overwhelming. Hawaii and California are both positioned as underdogs priced in the 17-25 percent range, making them among the longest shots on the card.
Prices captured 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC. Odds move.