Serie A has 2 matches on Monday, October 19. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | Monza vs Cagliari | 2.36 | 3.16 | 3.13 | 40.0% / 29.9% / 30.1% |
| 18:45 | Parma vs Torino | 3.06 | 3.04 | 2.47 | 30.8% / 31.0% / 38.2% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 22 books (Pinnacle, Codere (IT), Unibet (FR), 1xBet, Betclic (FR), Tipico). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Monza vs Cagliari
16:30 UTC
The market leans Monza at 40.0%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 19.3% on the widest side.
Parma vs Torino
18:45 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 30.8% against 38.2%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 14.0% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Parma vs Torino: 30.8% vs 38.2%.
- Most one-sided — Monza vs Cagliari: the market gives Monza 40.0%.
- Where books disagree most — Monza vs Cagliari: 19.3% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 6.0% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The Monday slate presents two fixtures with notably different competitive profiles. Monza versus Cagliari emerges as the tightest contest, with the home side favoured at 40% but facing a draw probability of 29.9% and an away win at 30.1%—a spread of just 9.9 percentage points between favourite and underdog. By contrast, Torino enters as clearer favourites at 38.2% against Parma's 30.8%, suggesting the bookmakers see a more pronounced visiting threat. Both matches carry comparable margins around 6%, indicating similar levels of overround across the betting market.
The Parma-Torino fixture shows greater consensus among the 22 books surveyed, with a spread of just 14 percentage points separating highest and lowest odds. Monza-Cagliari, meanwhile, displays a wider book spread of 19.3%, suggesting sharper disagreement on the home team's chances. This dispersion might reflect uncertainty around Monza's home advantage or mixed views on the teams' respective qualities heading into this midweek round.
Draw probability differs markedly between the two matches. Cagliari has the higher implied draw chance at 29.9%, nearly matching its away win probability, whereas the Parma-Torino draw sits at exactly 31.0%—fractionally higher and positioned between the home and away outcomes. For a Monday evening slate in Serie A, both matches appear genuinely competitive rather than heavily tilted toward either extreme.
Prices captured 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC. Odds move.