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NBA Wednesday, October 21: 6 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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NBA has 6 matches on Wednesday, October 21. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeAwayImplied
01:30San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder1.712.1155.2% / 44.8%
23:00Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks1.442.7865.9% / 34.1%
23:10Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks1.702.1555.9% / 44.1%
23:30Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets2.091.7345.4% / 54.6%
23:40Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls1.273.6274.0% / 26.0%
23:40Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves1.811.9852.2% / 47.8%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 20 books (Unibet (SE), PMU (FR), LeoVegas (SE), Unibet (NL), 1xBet, GTbets). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder

01:30 UTC

The market leans San Antonio Spurs at 55.2%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 11.6% on the widest side.

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks

23:00 UTC

The market leans Washington Wizards at 65.9%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 21.9% on the widest side.

Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks

23:10 UTC

The market leans Orlando Magic at 55.9%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 19.2% on the widest side.

Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets

23:30 UTC

The market leans Charlotte Hornets at 54.6%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 11.7% on the widest side.

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls

23:40 UTC

The market leans Toronto Raptors at 74.0%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 50.2% on the widest side.

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

23:40 UTC

The market can barely separate them — 52.2% against 47.8%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 11.2% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves: 52.2% vs 47.8%.
  • Most one-sided — Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls: the market gives Toronto Raptors 74.0%.
  • Where books disagree most — Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls: 50.2% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.7% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-16 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

NBA Wednesday, October 21: 6 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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