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Serie A Saturday, October 24: 4 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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Serie A has 4 matches on Saturday, October 24. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
13:00Cagliari vs Bologna3.093.102.4130.5% / 30.4% / 39.1%
13:00Como vs Sassuolo1.444.706.3765.2% / 20.0% / 14.8%
16:00Napoli vs AS Roma2.893.412.3732.6% / 27.7% / 39.7%
18:45Lazio vs Parma1.494.176.5363.0% / 22.5% / 14.4%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 22 books (Pinnacle, Winamax (DE), Winamax (FR), Unibet (FR), Betclic (FR), 1xBet). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Cagliari vs Bologna

13:00 UTC

The market leans Bologna at 39.1%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 15.9% on the widest side.

Como vs Sassuolo

13:00 UTC

The market leans Como at 65.2%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 35.2% on the widest side.

Napoli vs AS Roma

16:00 UTC

The market can barely separate them — 32.6% against 39.7%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 16.3% on the widest side.

Lazio vs Parma

18:45 UTC

The market leans Lazio at 63.0%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 30.0% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Napoli vs AS Roma: 32.6% vs 39.7%.
  • Most one-sided — Como vs Sassuolo: the market gives Como 65.2%.
  • Where books disagree most — Como vs Sassuolo: 35.2% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 6.2% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-19 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

Serie A Saturday, October 24: 4 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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