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EPL Saturday, October 24: 4 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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EPL has 4 matches on Saturday, October 24. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
11:30Aston Villa vs Manchester City4.434.141.7021.4% / 22.8% / 55.8%
14:00Arsenal vs Everton1.394.628.2468.0% / 20.5% / 11.5%
14:00Coventry City vs Fulham2.933.512.3232.3% / 26.9% / 40.8%
16:30Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur1.734.134.2154.6% / 22.9% / 22.5%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 24 books (Winamax (DE), 1xBet, Unibet (FR), Winamax (FR), Betclic (FR), MyBookie.ag). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Aston Villa vs Manchester City

11:30 UTC

The market leans Manchester City at 55.8%. Prices come from 24 books, and they differ by 18.0% on the widest side.

Arsenal vs Everton

14:00 UTC

The market leans Arsenal at 68.0%. Prices come from 24 books, and they differ by 37.1% on the widest side.

Coventry City vs Fulham

14:00 UTC

The market leans Fulham at 40.8%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 13.5% on the widest side.

Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur

16:30 UTC

The market leans Chelsea at 54.6%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 12.5% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Coventry City vs Fulham: 32.3% vs 40.8%.
  • Most one-sided — Arsenal vs Everton: the market gives Arsenal 68.0%.
  • Where books disagree most — Arsenal vs Everton: 37.1% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.7% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-19 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

EPL Saturday, October 24: 4 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (1)

  • salt_thicket

    Arsenal being 68% favorites over Everton seems wild, that's a huge gap for a derby match.