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Serie A Sunday, October 25: 5 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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Serie A has 5 matches on Sunday, October 25. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
11:30Inter Milan vs Fiorentina1.365.367.4069.6% / 17.6% / 12.8%
14:00Atalanta BC vs Frosinone1.754.164.0854.1% / 22.7% / 23.2%
14:00Genoa vs Venezia2.083.343.5845.4% / 28.3% / 26.3%
17:00Lecce vs Juventus7.594.341.4412.4% / 21.8% / 65.8%
19:45Udinese vs AC Milan5.133.891.6518.4% / 24.3% / 57.2%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 24 books (Pinnacle, Winamax (DE), Winamax (FR), Unibet (FR), Betclic (FR), 1xBet). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Inter Milan vs Fiorentina

11:30 UTC

The market leans Inter Milan at 69.6%. Prices come from 24 books, and they differ by 30.8% on the widest side.

Atalanta BC vs Frosinone

14:00 UTC

The market leans Atalanta BC at 54.1%. Prices come from 24 books, and they differ by 18.9% on the widest side.

Genoa vs Venezia

14:00 UTC

The market leans Genoa at 45.4%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 22.2% on the widest side.

Lecce vs Juventus

17:00 UTC

The market leans Juventus at 65.8%. Prices come from 24 books, and they differ by 37.6% on the widest side.

Udinese vs AC Milan

19:45 UTC

The market leans AC Milan at 57.2%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 28.9% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Genoa vs Venezia: 45.4% vs 26.3%.
  • Most one-sided — Inter Milan vs Fiorentina: the market gives Inter Milan 69.6%.
  • Where books disagree most — Lecce vs Juventus: 37.6% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.9% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-20 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

Serie A Sunday, October 25: 5 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (1)

  • driftfern692

    Inter at 69.6% seems way too high given how Fiorentina's been playing lately, that's a pretty juicy number.