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Ligue 1 Sunday, October 25: 6 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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Ligue 1 has 6 matches on Sunday, October 25. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
14:00AS Monaco vs Lille2.123.413.4144.6% / 27.7% / 27.7%
16:15Angers vs Lorient2.713.262.5934.8% / 28.9% / 36.3%
16:15Auxerre vs Le Mans FC2.123.553.2544.4% / 26.6% / 29.0%
16:15Marseille vs Le Havre1.564.465.0760.2% / 21.2% / 18.6%
16:15Rennes vs Strasbourg1.734.244.0354.4% / 22.2% / 23.4%
19:45Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon1.355.567.0169.6% / 16.9% / 13.4%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 22 books (Winamax (FR), Winamax (DE), 888sport, 1xBet, Unibet (FR), Tipico). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

AS Monaco vs Lille

14:00 UTC

The market leans AS Monaco at 44.6%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 18.1% on the widest side.

Angers vs Lorient

16:15 UTC

The market can barely separate them — 34.8% against 36.3%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 17.6% on the widest side.

Auxerre vs Le Mans FC

16:15 UTC

The market leans Auxerre at 44.4%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 13.3% on the widest side.

Marseille vs Le Havre

16:15 UTC

The market leans Marseille at 60.2%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 22.2% on the widest side.

Rennes vs Strasbourg

16:15 UTC

The market leans Rennes at 54.4%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 19.5% on the widest side.

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon

19:45 UTC

The market leans Paris Saint Germain at 69.6%. Prices come from 21 books, and they differ by 24.8% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Angers vs Lorient: 34.8% vs 36.3%.
  • Most one-sided — Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon: the market gives Paris Saint Germain 69.6%.
  • Where books disagree most — Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon: 24.8% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 6.1% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-20 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

Ligue 1 Sunday, October 25: 6 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (1)

  • paper7892

    PSG at 69.6% seems like the market's just printing money, that's basically a certainty for a football match lol