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La Liga Sunday, October 25: 4 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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La Liga has 4 matches on Sunday, October 25. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
13:00Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe1.633.805.4457.8% / 24.8% / 17.3%
15:15Celta Vigo vs Real Betis2.733.422.4834.5% / 27.5% / 38.0%
17:30Real Sociedad vs Levante1.714.034.3855.1% / 23.4% / 21.5%
20:00Barcelona vs Real Madrid1.565.304.4260.8% / 17.8% / 21.4%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 21 books (Winamax (DE), William Hill, 1xBet, Tipico, Winamax (FR), Unibet (FR)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe

13:00 UTC

The market leans Athletic Bilbao at 57.8%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 22.9% on the widest side.

Celta Vigo vs Real Betis

15:15 UTC

The market can barely separate them — 34.5% against 38.0%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 16.1% on the widest side.

Real Sociedad vs Levante

17:30 UTC

The market leans Real Sociedad at 55.1%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 18.0% on the widest side.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid

20:00 UTC

The market leans Barcelona at 60.8%. Prices come from 21 books, and they differ by 26.3% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Celta Vigo vs Real Betis: 34.5% vs 38.0%.
  • Most one-sided — Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe: the market gives Athletic Bilbao 57.8%.
  • Where books disagree most — Barcelona vs Real Madrid: 26.3% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 6.1% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-20 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

La Liga Sunday, October 25: 4 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (1)

  • sablecompass

    Barcelona at 60.8% seems too high given how much the books differ on that match - that's a lot of uncertainty for such a confident line.