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Serie A Tuesday, October 27: 3 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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Serie A has 3 matches on Tuesday, October 27. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
17:30Sassuolo vs Lazio2.803.362.4033.3% / 27.8% / 38.9%
19:45AS Roma vs Cagliari1.344.838.5269.8% / 19.3% / 10.9%
19:45Torino vs Como4.393.661.7521.2% / 25.5% / 53.3%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 19 books (Pinnacle, Unibet (FR), Betclic (FR), Winamax (FR), Winamax (DE), 1xBet). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Sassuolo vs Lazio

17:30 UTC

The market can barely separate them — 33.3% against 38.9%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 16.1% on the widest side.

AS Roma vs Cagliari

19:45 UTC

The market leans AS Roma at 69.8%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 53.8% on the widest side.

Torino vs Como

19:45 UTC

The market leans Como at 53.3%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 25.4% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Sassuolo vs Lazio: 33.3% vs 38.9%.
  • Most one-sided — AS Roma vs Cagliari: the market gives AS Roma 69.8%.
  • Where books disagree most — AS Roma vs Cagliari: 53.8% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 7.3% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-22 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

Serie A Tuesday, October 27: 3 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (1)

  • silver.teal

    Roma looking like a lock at nearly 70% but that 53.8% spread between books is wild, someone's definitely getting it wrong there.