MLS has 5 matches on Wednesday, October 28. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:30 | New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC | 1.73 | 3.95 | 4.05 | 53.6% / 23.5% / 22.9% |
| 23:30 | Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal | 1.48 | 4.69 | 5.28 | 62.6% / 19.8% / 17.6% |
| 23:30 | Toronto FC vs D.C. United | 1.92 | 3.88 | 3.34 | 48.3% / 23.9% / 27.8% |
| 23:30 | Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati | 1.38 | 5.57 | 5.81 | 67.4% / 16.6% / 15.9% |
| 23:30 | New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls | 1.79 | 4.08 | 3.68 | 51.9% / 22.8% / 25.3% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 4 books (Unibet (NL), Unibet (SE), LeoVegas (SE), PMU (FR)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC
23:30 UTC
The market leans New York City FC at 53.6%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 13.3% on the widest side.
Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal
23:30 UTC
The market leans Charlotte FC at 62.6%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 14.3% on the widest side.
Toronto FC vs D.C. United
23:30 UTC
The market leans Toronto FC at 48.3%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 11.1% on the widest side.
Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati
23:30 UTC
The market leans Inter Miami CF at 67.4%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 15.7% on the widest side.
New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls
23:30 UTC
The market leans New England Revolution at 51.9%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 11.6% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Toronto FC vs D.C. United: 48.3% vs 27.8%.
- Most one-sided — Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati: the market gives Inter Miami CF 67.4%.
- Where books disagree most — Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati: 15.7% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 7.8% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The five-match MLS slate on Wednesday shows a clear split between two perceived tier-ones and three tighter contests. Inter Miami CF stands out with the highest home probability at 67.4% against FC Cincinnati, while Charlotte FC follows at 62.6% against CF Montreal. Both matches feature spreads above 14%, indicating the strongest consensus among the four books consulted. The remaining three fixtures cluster tightly around the 48–52% mark for home sides, with Toronto FC rated the slight underdog at 48.3% against D.C. United despite playing at home.
Draw probability varies noticeably across the slate, ranging from 16.6% in the Miami-Cincinnati match to 23.9% in Toronto-D.C. United. This spread reflects differing market expectations about match flow and defensive solidity. The Toronto-D.C. match also shows the lowest book disagreement at 11.1%, suggesting bookmakers align most closely there, while Inter Miami-Cincinnati has the widest spread at 15.7%, implying more divergent assessments of that fixture despite the strong home favourite signal.
All five margins hover between 7.6% and 7.9%, showing consistent vig across the card. New York City FC versus Atlanta United sits in the middle ground—neither as heavily favoured as Miami or Charlotte, nor as competitive as Toronto or New England—with a modest 7.8% margin and notable 13.3% book spread, suggesting some disagreement on how to price the visitor from Atlanta.
Prices captured 2026-10-23 00:00 UTC. Odds move.