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Ligue 1 Friday, October 30: 2 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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Ligue 1 has 2 matches on Friday, October 30. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
18:00Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain9.936.561.239.5% / 14.3% / 76.2%
20:05Lille vs RC Lens2.263.552.8941.3% / 26.3% / 32.3%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 18 books (Pinnacle, Betclic (FR), 1xBet, Unibet (FR), Winamax (DE), Winamax (FR)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain

18:00 UTC

The market leans Paris Saint Germain at 76.2%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 48.4% on the widest side.

Lille vs RC Lens

20:05 UTC

The market leans Lille at 41.3%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 19.5% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Lille vs RC Lens: 41.3% vs 32.3%.
  • Most one-sided — Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: the market gives Paris Saint Germain 76.2%.
  • Where books disagree most — Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: 48.4% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 6.6% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-25 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

Ligue 1 Friday, October 30: 2 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (3)

  • alder_tinder

    PSG at 76% seems crazy steep for a road match, the book spread there is massive too.

  • sepia_satchel26

    Lille-Lens is basically a coin flip with that 41/32 split, surprised the books only disagree by 19% there compared to the PSG blowout.

  • alley742

    That 48% spread on PSG odds is wild, really shows how uncertain some books are about Le Havre pulling off the upset.