Serie A has 3 matches on Saturday, October 31. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Bologna vs Monza | 1.71 | 3.76 | 4.44 | 54.3% / 24.7% / 20.9% |
| 17:00 | Udinese vs AS Roma | 4.91 | 4.05 | 1.59 | 18.9% / 22.9% / 58.2% |
| 19:45 | AC Milan vs Inter Milan | 2.94 | 3.53 | 2.20 | 31.5% / 26.3% / 42.2% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 11 books (Pinnacle, 1xBet, Unibet (FR), GTbets, Winamax (FR), Winamax (DE)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Bologna vs Monza
14:00 UTC
The market leans Bologna at 54.3%. Prices come from 11 books, and they differ by 15.6% on the widest side.
Udinese vs AS Roma
17:00 UTC
The market leans AS Roma at 58.2%. Prices come from 11 books, and they differ by 17.8% on the widest side.
AC Milan vs Inter Milan
19:45 UTC
The market leans Inter Milan at 42.2%. Prices come from 11 books, and they differ by 16.7% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — AC Milan vs Inter Milan: 31.5% vs 42.2%.
- Most one-sided — Udinese vs AS Roma: the market gives AS Roma 58.2%.
- Where books disagree most — Udinese vs AS Roma: 17.8% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 7.7% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The Saturday Serie A slate presents three matches with notably different market conviction levels. Bologna versus Monza shows the tightest clustering of odds across bookmakers, with a spread of just 15.6 percentage points between the highest and lowest outliers. The home side is priced as clear favourites at 54.3% implied probability, nearly double the 20.9% assigned to Monza, though the 24.7% draw probability suggests the market sees a genuine competitive contest rather than a foregone conclusion.
The Udinese–Roma fixture is where bookmakers diverge most substantially, with an 17.8-point spread between sportsbooks. Roma are heavily favoured at 58.2% despite playing away, a sizable gap that reflects the market's view of this as a one-sided affair. Udinese's 18.9% chances are the lowest home probability on the slate, placing this match at the extreme end of asymmetry. The relatively even 22.9% draw probability underscores how little the market expects a closely fought contest.
AC Milan versus Inter Milan stands as Saturday's most competitive fixture by the numbers. Neither side commands overwhelming support: Milan hold 31.5% with the visitors at 42.2%, a gap of 10.7 percentage points. The 26.3% draw probability—highest across all three matches—indicates genuine uncertainty about the outcome. With a book spread of 16.7%, this is also where bookmakers show meaningful disagreement, suggesting sharper bettors may still be hunting edges in what the market treats as genuinely open.
Prices captured 2026-10-26 00:01 UTC. Odds move.