MLS has 8 matches on Saturday, October 31. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Charlotte FC vs Orlando City SC | 1.86 | 4.06 | 3.39 | 49.8% / 22.8% / 27.4% |
| 18:00 | New York City FC vs CF Montreal | 1.57 | 4.10 | 4.97 | 58.9% / 22.5% / 18.6% |
| 18:00 | Columbus Crew SC vs D.C. United | 1.52 | 4.49 | 5.08 | 61.1% / 20.7% / 18.3% |
| 18:00 | FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union | 3.13 | 3.99 | 1.97 | 29.7% / 23.2% / 47.1% |
| 19:00 | Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas | 3.29 | 3.91 | 1.92 | 28.2% / 23.7% / 48.2% |
| 19:00 | St. Louis City SC vs San Diego FC | 1.59 | 4.38 | 4.49 | 58.2% / 21.2% / 20.6% |
| 21:00 | LA Galaxy vs Austin FC | 1.65 | 4.17 | 4.32 | 56.3% / 22.2% / 21.5% |
| 21:00 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.91 | 3.09 | 46.2% / 23.7% / 30.1% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 4 books (Unibet (NL), PMU (FR), LeoVegas (SE), Unibet (SE)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Charlotte FC vs Orlando City SC
17:00 UTC
The market leans Charlotte FC at 49.8%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 10.9% on the widest side.
New York City FC vs CF Montreal
18:00 UTC
The market leans New York City FC at 58.9%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 15.2% on the widest side.
Columbus Crew SC vs D.C. United
18:00 UTC
The market leans Columbus Crew SC at 61.1%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 14.9% on the widest side.
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union
18:00 UTC
The market leans Philadelphia Union at 47.1%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 10.2% on the widest side.
Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas
19:00 UTC
The market leans FC Dallas at 48.2%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 11.3% on the widest side.
St. Louis City SC vs San Diego FC
19:00 UTC
The market leans St. Louis City SC at 58.2%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 13.1% on the widest side.
LA Galaxy vs Austin FC
21:00 UTC
The market leans LA Galaxy at 56.3%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 15.0% on the widest side.
San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake
21:00 UTC
The market leans San Jose Earthquakes at 46.2%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 12.1% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake: 46.2% vs 30.1%.
- Most one-sided — Columbus Crew SC vs D.C. United: the market gives Columbus Crew SC 61.1%.
- Where books disagree most — New York City FC vs CF Montreal: 15.2% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 7.9% across the slate.
Reading the slate
Saturday's MLS slate shows the market pricing two away-side favorites clearly. Philadelphia Union are given nearly a 47 percent chance to win at Cincinnati, while FC Dallas are priced at just under 48 percent to take points at Kansas City. These are the two strongest visiting prospects on the card, with both road teams commanding roughly 19-point advantages over their hosts in win probability. By contrast, the closest match looks to be Charlotte against Orlando, where the home side holds only a 49.8 percent implied edge—barely a coin flip—with draws priced at 22.8 percent, making it the only fixture where a stalemate competes realistically with either team's victory odds.
The upper-tier favorites are found in the central and western regions. Columbus at home to D.C. United is the single strongest favorite at 61.1 percent, while New York City and St. Louis City both sit around 58 percent at their respective home venues. These three hosts all operate with margins under 8.2 percent, suggesting tight bookmaker agreement on their superiority. The draw probability across most matches hovers between 20 and 24 percent, indicating relatively uniform expectations for game flow, though San Jose's draw is pitched slightly higher at 23.7 percent.
Bookmaker spread—a measure of disagreement among sportsbooks—is widest on the New York City and LA Galaxy matches, both at 15.2 and 15.0 percent respectively, suggesting more variance in how operators price these contests. Most other fixtures cluster between 7.7 and 12.1 percent spread, indicating fairly consistent market consensus. All eight matches were priced across four books, so the 8.0 percent average margin reflects the layer of overround built uniformly into this slate.
Prices captured 2026-10-26 00:01 UTC. Odds move.