Ligue 1 has 4 matches on Saturday, October 31. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:15 | Nice vs Rennes | 2.72 | 3.73 | 2.34 | 34.6% / 25.2% / 40.2% |
| 19:45 | Lyon vs Angers | 1.39 | 4.96 | 7.04 | 67.7% / 19.0% / 13.4% |
| 19:45 | Lorient vs Brest | 2.57 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 36.6% / 27.7% / 35.7% |
| 19:45 | Troyes vs Le Mans FC | 2.12 | 3.47 | 3.27 | 44.3% / 27.0% / 28.7% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 20 books (Unibet (FR), Pinnacle, Betclic (FR), Winamax (DE), Winamax (FR), Codere (IT)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Nice vs Rennes
16:15 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 34.6% against 40.2%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 17.7% on the widest side.
Lyon vs Angers
19:45 UTC
The market leans Lyon at 67.7%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 37.9% on the widest side.
Lorient vs Brest
19:45 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 36.6% against 35.7%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 15.9% on the widest side.
Troyes vs Le Mans FC
19:45 UTC
The market leans Troyes at 44.3%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 18.6% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Lorient vs Brest: 36.6% vs 35.7%.
- Most one-sided — Lyon vs Angers: the market gives Lyon 67.7%.
- Where books disagree most — Lyon vs Angers: 37.9% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 6.4% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The early fixture between Nice and Rennes shapes up as one of the day's most competitive matches, with the market pricing Rennes as slight favorites at 40.2% implied probability against Nice's 34.6%. The 5.6 percentage point gap between them is modest, and a quarter of all outcomes land on the draw at 25.2%, making this fixture one where the result remains genuinely uncertain. Across the 20 books sampled, there's a 17.7 percentage point spread in how they price the teams, suggesting real disagreement on who holds the edge.
Lyon versus Angers stands apart as the day's most lopsided contest. The market assigns Lyon a 67.7% win probability, a dominant number that reflects a 54.3 percentage point advantage over Angers' 13.4% chance. This 37.9 percentage point spread among bookmakers is the largest on the slate, indicating volatility in how books view this matchup despite the overall consensus favoring Lyon. Even accounting for the 6.3% book margin, Lyon is priced well clear.
The remaining two evening fixtures both fall into a tighter band of unpredictability. Lorient versus Brest is nearly even across all three outcomes, with home advantage worth just 0.9 percentage points and draw probability the highest at 27.7%. Troyes versus Le Mans FC tilts slightly toward Troyes at 44.3% but leaves 55.7% probability split between a draw and a Le Mans win. Across these four matches, margins are tightly consistent at 6.3–6.5%, indicating uniform book pricing efficiency.
Prices captured 2026-10-26 00:01 UTC. Odds move.