J League has 6 matches on Saturday, October 31. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo | 3.47 | 3.29 | 2.00 | 26.4% / 27.8% / 45.8% |
| 05:00 | Mito HollyHock vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC | 6.07 | 4.53 | 1.41 | 15.1% / 20.2% / 64.8% |
| 05:00 | Kyoto Purple Sanga vs Shimizu S Pulse | 2.57 | 3.15 | 2.55 | 35.4% / 28.9% / 35.7% |
| 06:00 | Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka | 1.68 | 3.89 | 4.14 | 54.4% / 23.5% / 22.1% |
| 06:00 | Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus | 1.78 | 3.65 | 3.86 | 51.3% / 25.1% / 23.7% |
| 07:00 | Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds | 1.99 | 3.61 | 3.15 | 45.8% / 25.2% / 28.9% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 14 books (Unibet (FR), BetOnline.ag, Nordic Bet, Coolbet, Betsson, Betclic (FR)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo
05:00 UTC
The market leans FC Tokyo at 45.8%. Prices come from 14 books, and they differ by 15.5% on the widest side.
Mito HollyHock vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC
05:00 UTC
The market leans Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC at 64.8%. Prices come from 14 books, and they differ by 29.6% on the widest side.
Kyoto Purple Sanga vs Shimizu S Pulse
05:00 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 35.4% against 35.7%. Prices come from 14 books, and they differ by 20.4% on the widest side.
Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka
06:00 UTC
The market leans Kashima Antlers at 54.4%. Prices come from 14 books, and they differ by 15.8% on the widest side.
Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus
06:00 UTC
The market leans Vissel Kobe at 51.3%. Prices come from 14 books, and they differ by 15.4% on the widest side.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds
07:00 UTC
The market leans Kashiwa Reysol at 45.8%. Prices come from 14 books, and they differ by 15.6% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Kyoto Purple Sanga vs Shimizu S Pulse: 35.4% vs 35.7%.
- Most one-sided — Mito HollyHock vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC: the market gives Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC 64.8%.
- Where books disagree most — Mito HollyHock vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC: 29.6% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 9.5% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The market views this J League slate with a sharp divide between lopsided contests and competitive matchups. Mito HollyHock versus Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC is the day's most one-sided affair, with the away side priced at 64.8%—a 29.6 percentage-point spread between the implied probabilities. By contrast, Kyoto Purple Sanga against Shimizu S Pulse is nearly a coin flip, with home and away separated by just 0.3 points and the draw close behind at 28.9%. Fagiano Okayama versus FC Tokyo sits in the middle, offering a 19.4-point gap between home and away while keeping the draw highly relevant at 27.8%.
The two afternoon fixtures at 06:00 UTC both favor home sides decisively but not dominantly. Kashima Antlers are priced at 54.4% against Cerezo Osaka's 22.1%, while Vissel Kobe stand at 51.3% against Nagoya Grampus at 23.7%. These margins—roughly 32 and 27.6 points respectively—suggest the market sees clear home advantages without overwhelming certainty. The overround margins cluster tightly between 9.3% and 9.8%, indicating consistent bookmaker pricing across the slate.
Kashiwa Reysol versus Urawa Red Diamonds presents the third genuinely competitive match, with the home side at 45.8% against away at 28.9%—a more pronounced gap than Kyoto's fixture but still leaving meaningful probability for either outcome. Across the six matches, bookmakers show greatest disagreement in Kyoto's game, where spread reaches 20.4 points, suggesting real disagreement about which side the market should favor in that encounter.
Prices captured 2026-10-26 00:00 UTC. Odds move.