EPL has 8 matches on Saturday, October 31. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Chelsea vs Manchester United | 1.84 | 3.85 | 3.91 | 51.3% / 24.5% / 24.2% |
| 15:00 | Bournemouth vs Leeds United | 2.13 | 3.43 | 3.37 | 44.4% / 27.5% / 28.0% |
| 15:00 | Brentford vs Nottingham Forest | 1.98 | 3.70 | 3.54 | 47.8% / 25.5% / 26.7% |
| 15:00 | Manchester City vs Brighton and Hove Albion | 1.66 | 4.32 | 4.46 | 57.0% / 21.8% / 21.1% |
| 15:00 | Coventry City vs Sunderland | 2.92 | 3.38 | 2.37 | 32.3% / 27.9% / 39.8% |
| 15:00 | Hull City vs Ipswich Town | 2.58 | 3.42 | 2.64 | 36.6% / 27.6% / 35.7% |
| 17:30 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace | 1.53 | 4.40 | 5.48 | 61.4% / 21.4% / 17.2% |
| 20:00 | Aston Villa vs Fulham | 1.93 | 3.72 | 3.66 | 48.9% / 25.3% / 25.8% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 23 books (Unibet (FR), 1xBet, 888sport, Betclic (FR), William Hill, MyBookie.ag). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Chelsea vs Manchester United
12:30 UTC
The market leans Chelsea at 51.3%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 28.6% on the widest side.
Bournemouth vs Leeds United
15:00 UTC
The market leans Bournemouth at 44.4%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 20.3% on the widest side.
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest
15:00 UTC
The market leans Brentford at 47.8%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 21.9% on the widest side.
Manchester City vs Brighton and Hove Albion
15:00 UTC
The market leans Manchester City at 57.0%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 20.3% on the widest side.
Coventry City vs Sunderland
15:00 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 32.3% against 39.8%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 18.5% on the widest side.
Hull City vs Ipswich Town
15:00 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 36.6% against 35.7%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 16.2% on the widest side.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace
17:30 UTC
The market leans Tottenham Hotspur at 61.4%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 27.7% on the widest side.
Aston Villa vs Fulham
20:00 UTC
The market leans Aston Villa at 48.9%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 23.1% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Hull City vs Ipswich Town: 36.6% vs 35.7%.
- Most one-sided — Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: the market gives Tottenham Hotspur 61.4%.
- Where books disagree most — Chelsea vs Manchester United: 28.6% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 6.0% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The Saturday slate is anchored by two clear home favourites, with Tottenham the market's most emphatic pick at 61.4% to beat Crystal Palace. Chelsea sits just behind at 51.3% against Manchester United, a fixture tight enough that the away side is priced barely lower than a draw. Manchester City comes in at 57% against Brighton, though the book spread of just 20.3 points suggests bookmakers see meaningful disagreement on this one despite the strong home implied probability.
The middle tier of matches reveals where genuine uncertainty lives. Aston Villa versus Fulham, Brentford versus Nottingham Forest, and Bournemouth versus Leeds all cluster in the 44–49% range for home wins, with draw probabilities hovering around 25–27%. These are the contests where the market is most genuinely divided. Hull City and Ipswich Town present an even tighter split, with the home side at 36.6% and the away side at 35.7%—almost a coin flip in probability terms, though Hull's home advantage still edges through the implied numbers.
Coventry City versus Sunderland is the day's outlier, the only match where the away side is clearly favoured at 39.8% versus the home team's 32.3%. This 7.5-point gap is the largest directional disparity on the slate outside the two home-dominant fixtures. Margins across all eight matches sit between 5.8% and 6.3%, indicating consistent bookmaker hold; the real variation lies in which direction the market leans.
Prices captured 2026-10-26 00:00 UTC. Odds move.