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NCAAF Saturday, October 31: 43 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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NCAAF has 43 matches on Saturday, October 31. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeAwayImplied
02:30Sacramento State Hornets vs Kent State Golden Flashes4.361.2121.8% / 78.2%
16:00Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Arizona Wildcats1.552.4661.4% / 38.6%
16:00Duke Blue Devils vs Boston College Eagles1.303.5573.2% / 26.8%
16:00Western Michigan Broncos vs Bowling Green Falcons1.145.8483.7% / 16.3%
16:00NC State Wolfpack vs California Golden Bears1.313.4972.8% / 27.2%
16:00Maryland Terrapins vs Illinois Fighting Illini2.111.7344.9% / 55.1%
16:00Iowa Hawkeyes vs Wisconsin Badgers1.592.3860.0% / 40.0%
16:00Navy Midshipmen vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish19.631.014.9% / 95.1%
16:00Syracuse Orange vs SMU Mustangs3.821.2724.9% / 75.1%
16:00South Florida Bulls vs UAB Blazers1.303.5773.3% / 26.7%
16:30Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Michigan Wolverines5.691.1416.7% / 83.3%
16:45Ole Miss Rebels vs Auburn Tigers1.174.9680.9% / 19.1%
17:00Old Dominion Monarchs vs Marshall Thundering Herd2.211.6843.2% / 56.8%
18:00Georgia State Panthers vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers1.412.9867.9% / 32.1%
18:00Colorado Buffaloes vs Kansas State Wildcats2.111.7445.1% / 54.9%
19:00Air Force Falcons vs UConn Huskies1.682.2557.2% / 42.8%
19:00East Carolina Pirates vs Temple Owls1.432.9167.1% / 32.9%
19:00South Alabama Jaguars vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs2.761.4734.8% / 65.2%
19:15Louisville Cardinals vs Stanford Cardinal1.0410.9191.3% / 8.7%
19:30BYU Cougars vs Arizona State Sun Devils1.136.1184.4% / 15.6%
19:30Utah State Aggies vs Colorado State Rams1.432.8966.9% / 33.1%
19:30Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida Gators1.224.3678.2% / 21.8%
19:30Liberty Flames vs Florida International Panthers1.155.5682.8% / 17.2%
19:30Indiana Hoosiers vs Minnesota Golden Gophers1.069.3989.9% / 10.1%
19:30TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas Jayhawks1.452.7665.5% / 34.5%
19:30North Dakota State Bison vs UTEP Miners1.0215.7393.9% / 6.1%
19:30Oregon Ducks vs Northwestern Wildcats1.572.4260.6% / 39.4%
19:30UL Monroe Warhawks vs Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles2.291.6541.9% / 58.1%
19:45Cincinnati Bearcats vs Utah Utes2.981.3931.8% / 68.2%
19:45Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Virginia Cavaliers1.165.4282.4% / 17.6%
20:00San Jose State Spartans vs New Mexico Lobos6.021.1415.9% / 84.1%
20:15UCLA Bruins vs Nevada Wolf Pack1.059.9990.4% / 9.6%
20:15Oklahoma Sooners vs South Carolina Gamecocks1.502.6363.7% / 36.3%
20:15Penn State Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers1.323.4572.4% / 27.6%
22:30Georgia Southern Eagles vs Appalachian State Mountaineers1.512.6463.6% / 36.4%
23:00Florida State Seminoles vs Clemson Tigers1.452.7665.5% / 34.5%
23:00Iowa State Cyclones vs Oklahoma State Cowboys4.121.2423.1% / 76.9%
23:00San Diego State Aztecs vs Washington State Cougars1.642.3258.6% / 41.4%
23:30Pittsburgh Panthers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets1.303.5473.1% / 26.9%
23:30North Carolina Tar Heels vs Miami Hurricanes6.141.1215.5% / 84.5%
23:30Texas Longhorns vs Mississippi State Bulldogs1.069.0989.6% / 10.4%
23:30USC Trojans vs Ohio State Buckeyes3.121.3730.5% / 69.5%
23:45Arkansas Razorbacks vs Missouri Tigers3.911.2524.3% / 75.7%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 11 books (William Hill, LeoVegas (SE), Unibet (SE), Betsson, Nordic Bet, Coolbet). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Sacramento State Hornets vs Kent State Golden Flashes

02:30 UTC

The market leans Kent State Golden Flashes at 78.2%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 17.1% on the widest side.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Arizona Wildcats

16:00 UTC

The market leans Texas Tech Red Raiders at 61.4%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 5.8% on the widest side.

Duke Blue Devils vs Boston College Eagles

16:00 UTC

The market leans Duke Blue Devils at 73.2%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 7.4% on the widest side.

Western Michigan Broncos vs Bowling Green Falcons

16:00 UTC

The market leans Western Michigan Broncos at 83.7%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 12.3% on the widest side.

NC State Wolfpack vs California Golden Bears

16:00 UTC

The market leans NC State Wolfpack at 72.8%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 5.9% on the widest side.

Maryland Terrapins vs Illinois Fighting Illini

16:00 UTC

The market leans Illinois Fighting Illini at 55.1%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 5.3% on the widest side.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Wisconsin Badgers

16:00 UTC

The market leans Iowa Hawkeyes at 60.0%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 9.6% on the widest side.

Navy Midshipmen vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish

16:00 UTC

The market leans Notre Dame Fighting Irish at 95.1%. Prices come from 6 books, and they differ by 60.0% on the widest side.

Syracuse Orange vs SMU Mustangs

16:00 UTC

The market leans SMU Mustangs at 75.1%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 12.9% on the widest side.

South Florida Bulls vs UAB Blazers

16:00 UTC

The market leans South Florida Bulls at 73.3%. Prices come from 5 books, and they differ by 9.3% on the widest side.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Michigan Wolverines

16:30 UTC

The market leans Michigan Wolverines at 83.3%. Prices come from 6 books, and they differ by 5.5% on the widest side.

Ole Miss Rebels vs Auburn Tigers

16:45 UTC

The market leans Ole Miss Rebels at 80.9%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 8.3% on the widest side.

Old Dominion Monarchs vs Marshall Thundering Herd

17:00 UTC

The market leans Marshall Thundering Herd at 56.8%. Prices come from 6 books, and they differ by 3.0% on the widest side.

Georgia State Panthers vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

18:00 UTC

The market leans Georgia State Panthers at 67.9%. Prices come from 3 books, and they differ by 2.7% on the widest side.

Colorado Buffaloes vs Kansas State Wildcats

18:00 UTC

The market leans Kansas State Wildcats at 54.9%. Prices come from 5 books, and they differ by 8.3% on the widest side.

Air Force Falcons vs UConn Huskies

19:00 UTC

The market leans Air Force Falcons at 57.2%. Prices come from 3 books, and they differ by 3.0% on the widest side.

East Carolina Pirates vs Temple Owls

19:00 UTC

The market leans East Carolina Pirates at 67.1%. Prices come from 3 books, and they differ by 1.0% on the widest side.

South Alabama Jaguars vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

19:00 UTC

The market leans Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at 65.2%. Prices come from 3 books, and they differ by 2.2% on the widest side.

Louisville Cardinals vs Stanford Cardinal

19:15 UTC

The market leans Louisville Cardinals at 91.3%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 41.2% on the widest side.

BYU Cougars vs Arizona State Sun Devils

19:30 UTC

The market leans BYU Cougars at 84.4%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 5.0% on the widest side.

Utah State Aggies vs Colorado State Rams

19:30 UTC

The market leans Utah State Aggies at 66.9%. Prices come from 3 books, and they differ by 4.2% on the widest side.

Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida Gators

19:30 UTC

The market leans Georgia Bulldogs at 78.2%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 7.4% on the widest side.

Liberty Flames vs Florida International Panthers

19:30 UTC

The market leans Liberty Flames at 82.8%. Prices come from 3 books, and they differ by 5.0% on the widest side.

Indiana Hoosiers vs Minnesota Golden Gophers

19:30 UTC

The market leans Indiana Hoosiers at 89.9%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 17.8% on the widest side.

TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas Jayhawks

19:30 UTC

The market leans TCU Horned Frogs at 65.5%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 9.4% on the widest side.

North Dakota State Bison vs UTEP Miners

19:30 UTC

The market leans North Dakota State Bison at 93.9%. Prices come from 3 books, and they differ by 15.3% on the widest side.

Oregon Ducks vs Northwestern Wildcats

19:30 UTC

The market leans Oregon Ducks at 60.6%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 7.7% on the widest side.

UL Monroe Warhawks vs Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

19:30 UTC

The market leans Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at 58.1%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 4.4% on the widest side.

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Utah Utes

19:45 UTC

The market leans Utah Utes at 68.2%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 11.1% on the widest side.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Virginia Cavaliers

19:45 UTC

The market leans Wake Forest Demon Deacons at 82.4%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 13.7% on the widest side.

San Jose State Spartans vs New Mexico Lobos

20:00 UTC

The market leans New Mexico Lobos at 84.1%. Prices come from 3 books, and they differ by 11.0% on the widest side.

UCLA Bruins vs Nevada Wolf Pack

20:15 UTC

The market leans UCLA Bruins at 90.4%. Prices come from 6 books, and they differ by 27.8% on the widest side.

Oklahoma Sooners vs South Carolina Gamecocks

20:15 UTC

The market leans Oklahoma Sooners at 63.7%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 3.8% on the widest side.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers

20:15 UTC

The market leans Penn State Nittany Lions at 72.4%. Prices come from 6 books, and they differ by 4.4% on the widest side.

Georgia Southern Eagles vs Appalachian State Mountaineers

22:30 UTC

The market leans Georgia Southern Eagles at 63.6%. Prices come from 3 books, and they differ by 1.3% on the widest side.

Florida State Seminoles vs Clemson Tigers

23:00 UTC

The market leans Florida State Seminoles at 65.5%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 10.2% on the widest side.

Iowa State Cyclones vs Oklahoma State Cowboys

23:00 UTC

The market leans Oklahoma State Cowboys at 76.9%. Prices come from 6 books, and they differ by 11.7% on the widest side.

San Diego State Aztecs vs Washington State Cougars

23:00 UTC

The market leans San Diego State Aztecs at 58.6%. Prices come from 3 books, and they differ by 3.1% on the widest side.

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

23:30 UTC

The market leans Pittsburgh Panthers at 73.1%. Prices come from 6 books, and they differ by 7.4% on the widest side.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Miami Hurricanes

23:30 UTC

The market leans Miami Hurricanes at 84.5%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 9.0% on the widest side.

Texas Longhorns vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

23:30 UTC

The market leans Texas Longhorns at 89.6%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 15.7% on the widest side.

USC Trojans vs Ohio State Buckeyes

23:30 UTC

The market leans Ohio State Buckeyes at 69.5%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 4.9% on the widest side.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Missouri Tigers

23:45 UTC

The market leans Missouri Tigers at 75.7%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 9.3% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Colorado Buffaloes vs Kansas State Wildcats: 45.1% vs 54.9%.
  • Most one-sided — Navy Midshipmen vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish: the market gives Notre Dame Fighting Irish 95.1%.
  • Where books disagree most — Navy Midshipmen vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 60.0% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 4.9% across the slate.

Reading the slate

Saturday's slate clusters heavily around the 16:00 UTC window with twenty-six matchups. The market's confidence levels vary dramatically, from Navy's 4.9 percent implied probability against Notre Dame—a reflection of a 60-point book spread—to North Dakota State's 93.9 percent and Louisville's 91.3 percent. Most matchups hover in the 5.0-5.4 percent margin range between home and away probabilities, suggesting fairly uniform bookmaker agreement on uncertainty across the board.

The lopsided contests reveal interesting patterns in where books diverge. Navy-Notre Dame shows the widest gap at 60.0 points, but UCLA-Nevada at 27.8 and Indiana-Minnesota at 17.8 also see substantial book-to-book disagreement despite heavy home favorites. Conversely, the tightest consensus appears in relatively close games: East Carolina-Temple shows just 1.0-point spread despite 67.1 implied for the home side, while Georgia Southern-Appalachian State sits at only 1.3 points even though the game is called nearly even at 63.6-36.4. This suggests bookmakers are most aligned when matches appear most competitive, but disagree most sharply on the magnitude of heavy favorites.

Several near-toss-ups flesh out the slate. Maryland-Illinois at 44.9-55.1, Old Dominion-Marshall at 43.2-56.8, and Colorado-Kansas State at 45.1-54.9 all lie within five percentage points either way. These represent the closest consensus calls on the day, with book spreads of 5.3, 3.0, and 8.3 points respectively—moderate agreement even where the outcome feels most uncertain.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-26 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

NCAAF Saturday, October 31: 43 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (4)

  • drift_ridge26

    Navy at 1.01 is absolutely insane, Notre Dame must be having one of those seasons

  • bramblefinch438

    Western Michigan at 1.14 against Bowling Green feels way too confident, MAC teams are always weird in rivalry matchups.

  • slow_ember54

    Duke's 1.30 against Boston College seems too sharp given how unpredictable ACC games get down the stretch.

  • Maryland over Illinois at 1.73 is interesting, they're basically slight underdogs despite playing at home?