Serie A has 5 matches on Sunday, November 1. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:30 | Como vs Venezia | 1.33 | 5.38 | 7.22 | 69.9% / 17.2% / 12.8% |
| 14:00 | Lazio vs Cagliari | 1.54 | 3.93 | 5.75 | 60.3% / 23.6% / 16.1% |
| 14:00 | Frosinone vs Torino | 2.15 | 3.67 | 2.94 | 43.1% / 25.3% / 31.6% |
| 17:00 | Lecce vs Genoa | 2.66 | 3.04 | 2.67 | 34.8% / 30.5% / 34.7% |
| 19:45 | Juventus vs Napoli | 1.78 | 3.56 | 4.28 | 52.2% / 26.1% / 21.7% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 17 books (Pinnacle, 1xBet, Unibet (FR), Winamax (FR), Winamax (DE), Marathon Bet). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Como vs Venezia
11:30 UTC
The market leans Como at 69.9%. Prices come from 17 books, and they differ by 38.3% on the widest side.
Lazio vs Cagliari
14:00 UTC
The market leans Lazio at 60.3%. Prices come from 17 books, and they differ by 28.2% on the widest side.
Frosinone vs Torino
14:00 UTC
The market leans Frosinone at 43.1%. Prices come from 17 books, and they differ by 14.5% on the widest side.
Lecce vs Genoa
17:00 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 34.8% against 34.7%. Prices come from 17 books, and they differ by 18.8% on the widest side.
Juventus vs Napoli
19:45 UTC
The market leans Juventus at 52.2%. Prices come from 17 books, and they differ by 23.5% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Lecce vs Genoa: 34.8% vs 34.7%.
- Most one-sided — Como vs Venezia: the market gives Como 69.9%.
- Where books disagree most — Como vs Venezia: 38.3% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 7.8% across the slate.
Reading the slate
Como's heavy favouritism against Venezia stands out as the day's most lopsided contest, with the home side priced at nearly 70% to win. This is significantly more pronounced than any other matchup on the slate. The bookmaker spread of 38.3 percentage points—the largest among these five matches—reflects strong consensus around Como's advantage, even as the margin absorbed by the books remains consistent with the rest of the card at around 7.9%. By contrast, the other four fixtures all cluster between 14.5 and 28.2 percentage points in spread, suggesting much wider disagreement about where true probabilities lie.
Lecce versus Genoa presents the day's most genuinely competitive proposition, with bookmakers pricing an almost perfect dead heat. The home side sits at 34.8%, the away side at 34.7%, separated by the thinnest of margins despite a 7.9% overround. The draw at 30.5% is the highest of any match here, which makes sense given how evenly balanced the win probabilities are. This tight book spread of just 18.8 points indicates genuine uncertainty rather than consensus.
Juventus and Napoli occupy middle ground at 52.2% and 21.7% respectively, reflecting a modest home advantage in a fixture where the draw—at 26.1%—captures meaningful probability. Lazio's odds against Cagliari (60.3% home) and Frosinone's hosting of Torino (43.1% home) round out a Sunday where margins are consistently compressed between 7.6% and 7.9%, suggesting the bookmakers are operating with similar efficiency across all five matches.
Prices captured 2026-10-27 00:01 UTC. Odds move.