Ligue 1 has 3 matches on Sunday, November 1. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Strasbourg vs Auxerre | 1.80 | 3.91 | 3.98 | 52.3% / 24.1% / 23.6% |
| 16:15 | Paris FC vs AS Monaco | 2.24 | 3.60 | 2.96 | 42.0% / 26.2% / 31.9% |
| 19:45 | Marseille vs Toulouse | 1.88 | 3.90 | 3.66 | 50.1% / 24.2% / 25.8% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 20 books (Pinnacle, Betclic (FR), Unibet (FR), Winamax (DE), Winamax (FR), Codere (IT)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Strasbourg vs Auxerre
14:00 UTC
The market leans Strasbourg at 52.3%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 16.2% on the widest side.
Paris FC vs AS Monaco
16:15 UTC
The market leans Paris FC at 42.0%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 13.3% on the widest side.
Marseille vs Toulouse
19:45 UTC
The market leans Marseille at 50.1%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 13.7% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Paris FC vs AS Monaco: 42.0% vs 31.9%.
- Most one-sided — Strasbourg vs Auxerre: the market gives Strasbourg 52.3%.
- Where books disagree most — Strasbourg vs Auxerre: 16.2% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 6.2% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The Strasbourg–Auxerre match opens the day as the most heavily favored outcome on the slate, with the home side priced to win just over half the time at 52.3%. This represents a modest advantage rather than a dominant position; the market is distributing meaningful probability across all three outcomes, with away victory at 23.6% and the draw at 24.1%. The 16.2% spread between the longest and shortest odds among the twenty books consulted suggests some material disagreement on where the true chances lie.
Paris FC versus AS Monaco presents the most competitive fixture in terms of market consensus. The away side carries 31.9% implied probability, nearly matching the home team's 42.0%, while draws are priced at 26.2%. This relatively tight clustering of probabilities—a book spread of just 13.3%—indicates the twenty bookmakers are closely aligned on an uncertain contest. Marseille–Toulouse sits between these two in terms of home favoritism at 50.1%, almost level with Strasbourg's pricing, though the draw probability is slightly lower at 24.2% versus 24.1%.
Across the three matches, margins range from 6.1% to 6.2%, showing consistent overround that reflects standard bookmaker practice. The Strasbourg fixture commands the largest disagreement among books at 16.2% spread, while Paris FC–Monaco shows the tightest coordination at 13.3%. The slate as a whole leans toward home advantage, with no away side priced below 23.6% probability.
Prices captured 2026-10-27 00:01 UTC. Odds move.