MLS has 4 matches on Sunday, November 1. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire | 2.22 | 3.63 | 2.87 | 41.9% / 25.6% / 32.4% |
| 21:30 | Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC | 1.87 | 3.99 | 3.43 | 49.7% / 23.3% / 27.1% |
| 21:30 | Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls | 1.31 | 5.57 | 7.44 | 70.9% / 16.7% / 12.5% |
| 21:30 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs Seattle Sounders FC | 1.50 | 4.49 | 5.17 | 61.5% / 20.6% / 17.9% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 4 books (LeoVegas (SE), PMU (FR), Unibet (NL), Unibet (SE)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire
01:30 UTC
The market leans Colorado Rapids at 41.9%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 11.1% on the widest side.
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC
21:30 UTC
The market leans Atlanta United FC at 49.7%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 12.5% on the widest side.
Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls
21:30 UTC
The market leans Nashville SC at 70.9%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 18.5% on the widest side.
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs Seattle Sounders FC
21:30 UTC
The market leans Vancouver Whitecaps FC at 61.5%. Prices come from 4 books, and they differ by 14.6% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire: 41.9% vs 32.4%.
- Most one-sided — Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls: the market gives Nashville SC 70.9%.
- Where books disagree most — Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls: 18.5% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 7.8% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The evening slate features a stark contrast in competitive balance. Nashville SC versus New York Red Bulls stands apart as the most lopsided matchup, with the market pricing Nashville at nearly 71 percent to win—a probability that leaves the Red Bulls with just 12.5 percent chances. That 18.5 percent spread between bookmakers on this fixture also suggests it's where oddsmakers found least common ground. By comparison, Vancouver's hosting of Seattle shows meaningful home advantage at 61.5 percent, but the visitor's 17.9 percent win probability creates a more balanced proposition than the Nashville game.
The morning kickoff in Colorado presents an unusually competitive three-way contest. Colorado sits only 9.5 percentage points ahead of Chicago despite holding home field, while the draw probability of 25.6 percent signals genuine uncertainty about the outcome. This is the tightest match on the slate in terms of win probabilities, though the bookmakers still disagreed notably—the 11.1 percent spread indicates meaningful divergence across sportsbooks on how to price this encounter.
Atlanta United hosting Toronto falls between these extremes. The market favors Atlanta at just under 50 percent, leaving Toronto with 27.1 percent chances and a near-quarter likelihood of a draw. The 12.5 percent book spread here was the largest of the evening fixtures, suggesting sportsbooks had materially different assessments of this matchup despite similar overall margins across the slate.
Prices captured 2026-10-27 00:01 UTC. Odds move.