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K League 1 Saturday, October 31: 2 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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K League 1 has 2 matches on Saturday, October 31. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
05:00Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors vs Daejeon Citizen2.463.332.5837.1% / 27.4% / 35.4%
07:30Gwangju FC vs Sangju Sangmu FC3.263.412.0328.1% / 26.8% / 45.1%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 10 books (Pinnacle, Marathon Bet, Nordic Bet, Unibet (FR), 1xBet, Betsson). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors vs Daejeon Citizen

05:00 UTC

The market can barely separate them — 37.1% against 35.4%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 20.9% on the widest side.

Gwangju FC vs Sangju Sangmu FC

07:30 UTC

The market leans Sangju Sangmu FC at 45.1%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 18.5% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors vs Daejeon Citizen: 37.1% vs 35.4%.
  • Most one-sided — Gwangju FC vs Sangju Sangmu FC: the market gives Sangju Sangmu FC 45.1%.
  • Where books disagree most — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors vs Daejeon Citizen: 20.9% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 9.5% across the slate.

Reading the slate

The Jeonbuk versus Daejeon fixture is priced as a near-even contest. The market has assigned the home side a 37.1% win probability against an away win probability of 35.4%, with a draw at 27.4%. This 1.7-percentage-point edge to the home team is marginal—bookmakers across the board see very little separation here. The 20.9% book spread indicates some disagreement among operators, but all ten books are clustering around the same tight implied probabilities, suggesting genuine uncertainty rather than sharp disagreement about which team is favored.

Gwangju versus Sangju Sangmu tells a different story. The away side is priced as the stronger proposition at 45.1% to win, compared to Gwangju's 28.1%—a 16.9-point gap that makes this the more lopsided matchup of the day. The draw sits at 26.8%, creating a slate where one contest is essentially a toss-up and the other leans clearly in one direction. The 18.5% book spread here is tighter than Jeonbuk-Daejeon despite the larger implied favorite, suggesting there's actual consensus that Sangju is the better bet rather than scattered opinion.

Across the two fixtures, the margins are similar—9.6% and 9.4%—but the compositions differ sharply. One match distributes probability fairly evenly across three outcomes; the other concentrates it behind one team. Both carry meaningful uncertainty, but they present different types of contest.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-27 00:01 UTC. Odds move.

K League 1 Saturday, October 31: 2 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (4)

  • northfjord31

    The Jeonbuk match being basically a coin flip at 37.1% vs 35.4% seems wild for a home game, wonder if Daejeon's form is better than expected right now.

  • heather_atlas

    That 20.9% spread on the Jeonbuk match is huge though, means the books really aren't sure where this one's going.

  • narrow_tide62

    Sangju at 45.1% seems pretty generous given they're the away side in the second match, that's a lot of confidence in them.

  • alder_raven90

    Sangju getting 45.1% as away underdogs is interesting, but that 18.5% spread shows books aren't even that confident in it.