La Liga has 4 matches on Sunday, November 1. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | Getafe vs Sevilla | 3.05 | 2.97 | 2.54 | 31.0% / 31.8% / 37.2% |
| 15:15 | Real Racing Club de Santander vs Real Madrid | 9.42 | 7.06 | 1.23 | 10.0% / 13.4% / 76.6% |
| 17:30 | Elche CF vs Valencia | 2.43 | 3.34 | 2.87 | 38.9% / 28.2% / 32.9% |
| 20:00 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad | 2.05 | 3.63 | 3.39 | 46.1% / 26.0% / 27.9% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 20 books (Pinnacle, Betclic (FR), Unibet (FR), Winamax (DE), Winamax (FR), Codere (IT)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Getafe vs Sevilla
13:00 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 31.0% against 37.2%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 19.6% on the widest side.
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Real Madrid
15:15 UTC
The market leans Real Madrid at 76.6%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 44.7% on the widest side.
Elche CF vs Valencia
17:30 UTC
The market can barely separate them — 38.9% against 32.9%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 17.0% on the widest side.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad
20:00 UTC
The market leans Athletic Bilbao at 46.1%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 21.3% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Elche CF vs Valencia: 38.9% vs 32.9%.
- Most one-sided — Real Racing Club de Santander vs Real Madrid: the market gives Real Madrid 76.6%.
- Where books disagree most — Real Racing Club de Santander vs Real Madrid: 44.7% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 5.9% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The Sunday La Liga slate features a match of stark contrasts between Racing and Real Madrid, where the market has priced an unusually wide gap. The away side is favoured at 76.6% across 20 bookmakers, with Racing given just a 10% chance at home. This 44.7% spread between the first and third outcomes is by far the largest on the day, reflecting strong consensus among oddsmakers that this will be one-sided. By comparison, the other three fixtures cluster much tighter, with spreads ranging from 17.0% to 21.3%.
Getafe versus Sevilla and the Athletic Bilbao versus Real Sociedad match both show competitive markets. Getafe-Sevilla is nearly a coin-flip across the three outcomes, with the away win marginally favoured at 37.2% versus home at 31.0% and a draw at 31.8%. Athletic Bilbao's implied probability of 46.1% at home makes them the favourites in their fixture, though Real Sociedad at 27.9% remains well within contention. Elche against Valencia sits between these in terms of clarity, with Valencia slight outsiders at 32.9% but the market still seeing genuine uncertainty.
All four matches carry similar overround margins between 5.8% and 5.9%, indicating consistent bookmaker pricing across the slate. The real variation lies in how concentrated or dispersed market confidence is: Racing-Real Madrid represents maximal certainty, while Getafe-Sevilla represents maximal uncertainty, with Athletic Bilbao-Real Sociedad and Elche-Valencia occupying middle ground.
Prices captured 2026-10-27 00:01 UTC. Odds move.