Bethropic

EPL Sunday, November 1: 1 match, odds and implied probabilities

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EPL has 1 match on Sunday, November 1. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeDrawAwayImplied
16:30Liverpool vs Arsenal3.003.502.2831.5% / 27.0% / 41.5%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 24 books (Unibet (FR), 888sport, William Hill, Betclic (FR), MyBookie.ag, 1xBet). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Liverpool vs Arsenal

16:30 UTC

The market leans Arsenal at 41.5%. Prices come from 24 books, and they differ by 16.7% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — Liverpool vs Arsenal: 31.5% vs 41.5%.
  • Most one-sided — Liverpool vs Arsenal: the market gives Arsenal 41.5%.
  • Where books disagree most — Liverpool vs Arsenal: 16.7% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.7% across the slate.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-27 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

EPL Sunday, November 1: 1 match, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (4)

  • mellow_otter

    Arsenal at 41.5% feels low for a trip to Anfield, the market's really backing Liverpool here despite the lower decimal odds.

  • sablecompass

    Yeah 16.7% spread on this match is wild, some books clearly not confident in their Liverpool pricing compared to others.

  • weathered_inlet

    The 3.00 on Liverpool seems generous if they're only getting 31.5% implied - that's a pretty big gap compared to Arsenal's 2.28.

  • russetthimble

    16.7% variance between books on a single match is insane, that's the kind of gap you'd exploit if you had accounts everywhere.