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NFL Sunday, November 1: 11 matches, odds and implied probabilities

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NFL has 11 matches on Sunday, November 1. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.

Fixtures and odds

UTCMatchHomeAwayImplied
18:00Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals1.333.2671.0% / 29.0%
18:00Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons1.742.0954.5% / 45.5%
18:00Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens1.522.5262.3% / 37.7%
18:00Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans1.165.2681.9% / 18.1%
18:00Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns1.502.5963.3% / 36.7%
18:00Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings1.562.4561.1% / 38.9%
18:00Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts1.244.1076.8% / 23.2%
18:00New York Jets vs Las Vegas Raiders1.911.9050.0% / 50.0%
21:05Los Angeles Rams vs Los Angeles Chargers1.333.4072.0% / 28.0%
21:25Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs2.001.8147.5% / 52.5%
21:25Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots3.921.2524.2% / 75.8%

Odds are decimal, averaged across 20 books (Betsson, Nordic Bet, Betclic (FR), Unibet (NL), Unibet (SE), PMU (FR)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.

Match by match

Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals

18:00 UTC

The market leans Dallas Cowboys at 71.0%. Prices come from 16 books, and they differ by 22.0% on the widest side.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

18:00 UTC

The market leans Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 54.5%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 17.8% on the widest side.

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

18:00 UTC

The market leans Buffalo Bills at 62.3%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 18.2% on the widest side.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans

18:00 UTC

The market leans Cincinnati Bengals at 81.9%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 24.0% on the widest side.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

18:00 UTC

The market leans Pittsburgh Steelers at 63.3%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 15.6% on the widest side.

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

18:00 UTC

The market leans Detroit Lions at 61.1%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 24.8% on the widest side.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

18:00 UTC

The market leans Jacksonville Jaguars at 76.8%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 18.9% on the widest side.

New York Jets vs Las Vegas Raiders

18:00 UTC

The market can barely separate them — 50.0% against 50.0%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 17.6% on the widest side.

Los Angeles Rams vs Los Angeles Chargers

21:05 UTC

The market leans Los Angeles Rams at 72.0%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 19.4% on the widest side.

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

21:25 UTC

The market can barely separate them — 47.5% against 52.5%. Prices come from 18 books, and they differ by 15.0% on the widest side.

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

21:25 UTC

The market leans New England Patriots at 75.8%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 18.0% on the widest side.

What the market is saying

  • Closest on paper — New York Jets vs Las Vegas Raiders: 50.0% vs 50.0%.
  • Most one-sided — Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans: the market gives Cincinnati Bengals 81.9%.
  • Where books disagree most — Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings: 24.8% between the best and worst price.
  • Average bookmaker margin — 5.1% across the slate.

Reading the slate

The Sunday slate features two matches where the market sees a decisive home-field edge: Cincinnati against Tennessee is priced with the Bengals favored at 81.9 percent, while Jacksonville against Indianapolis has the Jaguars at 76.8 percent. Both of these represent the most lopsided matchups on the card. At the other extreme, New York Jets versus Las Vegas Raiders stands at a perfect 50-50 split, with Tampa Bay against Atlanta also tightly bunched at 54.5 percent for the home side. These closer contests suggest genuine uncertainty, whereas the blowout-favored matchups indicate the market views them as relatively settled affairs.

Across the 11 fixtures, bookmaker spreads range from 15.0 percent (Denver-Kansas City) to 24.8 percent (Detroit-Minnesota), indicating varying levels of disagreement in the betting market. Denver-Kansas City shows the tightest consensus at 18 books despite its 5.4 percent margin, while Detroit-Minnesota and Cincinnati-Tennessee both show wider spreads despite smaller sampling of outlets in some cases. The consistency of the 5 percent margin band across most matches—clustering between 4.7 and 5.4 percent—suggests the market has found relatively stable pricing on this slate, with very little daylight between sportsbooks on most games.

The Dallas-Arizona and Los Angeles Rams-Chargers matchups both price the home teams around 71–72 percent, making them the third and fourth most one-sided affairs after the Cincinnati and Jacksonville favorites. Conversely, the Miami-New England game is heavily tilted toward New England as the away favorite at 75.8 percent, an unusual configuration that stands out as the strongest backing for a visiting team on this Sunday.

More fixtures and odds

Prices captured 2026-10-27 00:00 UTC. Odds move.

NFL Sunday, November 1: 11 matches, odds and implied probabilities

Comments (4)

  • winterotter238

    Cowboys at 71% seems pretty steep given Arizona's been competitive lately, feels like there might be some value there.

  • silverlark67

    Chiefs are favored over Denver but the Broncos are getting nearly 2.0 odds, that's a pretty tight matchup for a division game.

  • northmeadow

    Bengals at 81.9% against Tennessee seems wild, they must be way ahead in the division or something.

  • restlessegret28

    Jets-Raiders being dead even at 50-50 is wild, one of these teams has to be way better than the other right now.