NCAAF has 5 matches on Sunday, November 1. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Memphis Tigers vs Army Black Knights | 1.43 | 2.86 | 66.6% / 33.4% |
| 00:00 | Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Washington Huskies | 1.29 | 3.63 | 73.8% / 26.2% |
| 02:00 | Boise State Broncos vs Texas State Bobcats | 1.22 | 4.29 | 77.8% / 22.2% |
| 02:30 | UNLV Rebels vs Northern Illinois Huskies | 1.02 | 12.73 | 92.6% / 7.4% |
| 03:00 | Fresno State Bulldogs vs Oregon State Beavers | 2.84 | 1.43 | 33.5% / 66.5% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 9 books (BetOnline.ag, GTbets, Marathon Bet, Pinnacle, MyBookie.ag, Unibet (NL)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Memphis Tigers vs Army Black Knights
00:00 UTC
The market leans Memphis Tigers at 66.6%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 3.2% on the widest side.
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Washington Huskies
00:00 UTC
The market leans Nebraska Cornhuskers at 73.8%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 10.6% on the widest side.
Boise State Broncos vs Texas State Bobcats
02:00 UTC
The market leans Boise State Broncos at 77.8%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 11.6% on the widest side.
UNLV Rebels vs Northern Illinois Huskies
02:30 UTC
The market leans UNLV Rebels at 92.6%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 40.2% on the widest side.
Fresno State Bulldogs vs Oregon State Beavers
03:00 UTC
The market leans Oregon State Beavers at 66.5%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 7.4% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Fresno State Bulldogs vs Oregon State Beavers: 33.5% vs 66.5%.
- Most one-sided — UNLV Rebels vs Northern Illinois Huskies: the market gives UNLV Rebels 92.6%.
- Where books disagree most — UNLV Rebels vs Northern Illinois Huskies: 40.2% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 5.1% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The Sunday NCAAF slate shows a clear hierarchy of confidence. UNLV stands out as the most lopsided matchup, with the market pricing the Rebels at a 92.6% win probability against Northern Illinois—a 40.2-point spread that dwarfs the rest of the card. This represents a 5.5% margin between the highest and lowest implied probability, the widest gap on the board. By comparison, the other four fixtures cluster much more tightly, with margins ranging from 4.9% to 5.1%, suggesting the market views them as substantially more competitive.
Nebraska-Washington shows the second-most confident read, with Nebraska priced at 73.8% despite bookmakers displaying their largest disagreement on the slate at 10.6% spread variance. Memphis-Army follows a similar pattern but with lower certainty overall—the Tigers sit at 66.6%, and bookmakers are tighter in their consensus at 3.2% spread variance. Boise State-Texas State rounds out the three most heavily favored matchups, with Boise at 77.8%, though bookmakers diverge to 11.6% on this one.
Fresno State-Oregon State is the only fixture where the road team holds the higher implied probability. The market prices Oregon State at 66.5%, making this the only true toss-up contest relative to what the rest of the slate suggests about relative team strength. The 7.4-point book spread on this game sits between the tight Memphis consensus and the more scattered Nebraska and Boise lines, indicating moderate but not extreme bookmaker agreement on the Beavers' edge.
Prices captured 2026-10-27 00:00 UTC. Odds move.