NCAAF has 45 matches on Saturday, September 12. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Kansas Jayhawks vs Missouri Tigers | 2.94 | 1.39 | 32.1% / 67.9% |
| 16:00 | East Carolina Pirates vs Appalachian State Mountaineers | 1.29 | 3.56 | 73.4% / 26.6% |
| 16:00 | Texas A&M Aggies vs Arizona State Sun Devils | 1.14 | 5.66 | 83.3% / 16.7% |
| 16:00 | Utah Utes vs Arkansas Razorbacks | 1.19 | 4.66 | 79.7% / 20.3% |
| 16:00 | Army Black Knights vs South Florida Bulls | 1.54 | 2.47 | 61.6% / 38.4% |
| 16:00 | North Carolina Tar Heels vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 1.00 | 34.00 | 97.1% / 2.9% |
| 16:00 | Kansas State Wildcats vs Washington State Cougars | 1.07 | 8.26 | 88.6% / 11.4% |
| 16:00 | Michigan Wolverines vs Oklahoma Sooners | 2.96 | 1.39 | 31.9% / 68.1% |
| 16:00 | Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Oregon Ducks | 10.25 | 1.04 | 9.2% / 90.8% |
| 16:00 | Virginia Tech Hokies vs Old Dominion Monarchs | 1.09 | 7.37 | 87.1% / 12.9% |
| 16:00 | Temple Owls vs Penn State Nittany Lions | 12.35 | 1.03 | 7.7% / 92.3% |
| 16:00 | Purdue Boilermakers vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 2.62 | 1.48 | 36.1% / 63.9% |
| 16:45 | Georgia Bulldogs vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 1.00 | 21.00 | 95.5% / 4.5% |
| 18:00 | Ball State Cardinals vs Stony Brook Seawolves | 1.12 | 5.89 | 84.1% / 15.9% |
| 19:30 | Kentucky Wildcats vs Alabama Crimson Tide | 4.29 | 1.21 | 22.0% / 78.0% |
| 19:30 | BYU Cougars vs Arizona Wildcats | 1.31 | 3.43 | 72.4% / 27.6% |
| 19:30 | Syracuse Orange vs California Golden Bears | 1.62 | 2.30 | 58.6% / 41.4% |
| 19:30 | Illinois Fighting Illini vs Duke Blue Devils | 1.43 | 2.85 | 66.6% / 33.4% |
| 19:30 | Michigan State Spartans vs Eastern Michigan Eagles | 1.09 | 7.36 | 87.1% / 12.9% |
| 19:30 | UConn Huskies vs Maryland Terrapins | 5.06 | 1.17 | 18.8% / 81.2% |
| 19:30 | Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs | 1.95 | 1.85 | 48.7% / 51.3% |
| 19:30 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Rice Owls | 1.00 | 21.00 | 95.5% / 4.5% |
| 19:30 | Pittsburgh Panthers vs UCF Knights | 1.32 | 3.39 | 72.0% / 28.0% |
| 19:30 | Texas State Bobcats vs UTSA Roadrunners | 1.92 | 1.89 | 49.6% / 50.4% |
| 19:30 | UAB Blazers vs UL Monroe Warhawks | 1.23 | 4.19 | 77.4% / 22.6% |
| 19:30 | Washington Huskies vs Utah State Aggies | 1.02 | 16.90 | 94.3% / 5.7% |
| 19:45 | North Texas Mean Green vs UNLV Rebels | 2.61 | 1.49 | 36.4% / 63.6% |
| 20:15 | Vanderbilt Commodores vs Delaware Blue Hens | 1.06 | 9.40 | 89.9% / 10.1% |
| 22:00 | Boise State Broncos vs Memphis Tigers | 1.29 | 3.61 | 73.7% / 26.3% |
| 22:00 | Florida International Panthers vs Buffalo Bulls | 1.22 | 4.25 | 77.7% / 22.3% |
| 22:00 | Ohio Bobcats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 1.78 | 2.03 | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| 23:00 | Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Bowling Green Falcons | 1.01 | 17.35 | 94.5% / 5.5% |
| 23:00 | Kennesaw State Owls vs Georgia State Panthers | 1.27 | 3.70 | 74.4% / 25.6% |
| 23:00 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs Tennessee Volunteers | 5.02 | 1.17 | 18.9% / 81.1% |
| 23:00 | Marshall Thundering Herd vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 1.13 | 5.88 | 83.9% / 16.1% |
| 23:00 | Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 5.41 | 1.15 | 17.5% / 82.5% |
| 23:00 | Tulane Green Wave vs South Alabama Jaguars | 1.23 | 4.21 | 77.4% / 22.6% |
| 23:15 | UCLA Bruins vs San Diego State Aztecs | 1.20 | 4.56 | 79.2% / 20.8% |
| 23:30 | Clemson Tigers vs Georgia Southern Eagles | 1.06 | 9.69 | 90.2% / 9.8% |
| 23:30 | Florida Atlantic Owls vs Navy Midshipmen | 2.74 | 1.45 | 34.6% / 65.4% |
| 23:30 | Iowa Hawkeyes vs Iowa State Cyclones | 1.12 | 6.20 | 84.7% / 15.3% |
| 23:30 | LSU Tigers vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 1.00 | 28.50 | 96.6% / 3.4% |
| 23:30 | Texas Longhorns vs Ohio State Buckeyes | 1.84 | 1.95 | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| 23:30 | Oregon State Beavers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders | 16.10 | 1.02 | 6.0% / 94.0% |
| 23:45 | Auburn Tigers vs Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles | 1.01 | 16.50 | 94.2% / 5.8% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 11 books (Nordic Bet, Betsson, MyBookie.ag, Coolbet, LeoVegas (SE), Unibet (SE)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Kansas Jayhawks vs Missouri Tigers
00:00 UTC · David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium, Lawrence · Season record: Kansas Jayhawks 1-0 / Missouri Tigers 1-0
The market leans Missouri Tigers at 67.9%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 5.6% on the widest side.
East Carolina Pirates vs Appalachian State Mountaineers
16:00 UTC · Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill · Season record: East Carolina Pirates 1-0 / Appalachian State Mountaineers 1-1
The market leans East Carolina Pirates at 73.4%. Prices come from 11 books, and they differ by 6.0% on the widest side.
Texas A&M Aggies vs Arizona State Sun Devils
16:00 UTC · Kyle Field, College Station · Season record: Texas A&M Aggies 1-0 / Arizona State Sun Devils 1-0
The market leans Texas A&M Aggies at 83.3%. Prices come from 11 books, and they differ by 13.6% on the widest side.
Utah Utes vs Arkansas Razorbacks
16:00 UTC · Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City · Season record: Utah Utes 1-0 / Arkansas Razorbacks 1-0
The market leans Utah Utes at 79.7%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 5.6% on the widest side.
Army Black Knights vs South Florida Bulls
16:00 UTC · Michie Stadium, West Point · Season record: Army Black Knights 1-0 / South Florida Bulls 1-0
The market leans Army Black Knights at 61.6%. Prices come from 11 books, and they differ by 4.7% on the widest side.
North Carolina Tar Heels vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers
16:00 UTC · Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill · Season record: North Carolina Tar Heels 1-0 / East Tennessee State Buccaneers 1-1
The market leans North Carolina Tar Heels at 97.1%. Prices come from 1 book.
Kansas State Wildcats vs Washington State Cougars
16:00 UTC · Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan · Season record: Kansas State Wildcats 1-0 / Washington State Cougars 0-1
The market leans Kansas State Wildcats at 88.6%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 28.6% on the widest side.
Michigan Wolverines vs Oklahoma Sooners
16:00 UTC · Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor · Season record: Michigan Wolverines 1-0 / Oklahoma Sooners 1-0
The market leans Oklahoma Sooners at 68.1%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 4.4% on the widest side.
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Oregon Ducks
16:00 UTC · Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater · Season record: Oklahoma State Cowboys 0-1 / Oregon Ducks 1-0
The market leans Oregon Ducks at 90.8%. Prices come from 11 books, and they differ by 50.0% on the widest side.
Virginia Tech Hokies vs Old Dominion Monarchs
16:00 UTC · Lane Stadium, Blacksburg · Season record: Virginia Tech Hokies 1-0 / Old Dominion Monarchs 1-0
The market leans Virginia Tech Hokies at 87.1%. Prices come from 11 books, and they differ by 12.1% on the widest side.
Temple Owls vs Penn State Nittany Lions
16:00 UTC · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia · Season record: Temple Owls 1-0 / Penn State Nittany Lions 1-0
The market leans Penn State Nittany Lions at 92.3%. Prices come from 10 books, and they differ by 66.7% on the widest side.
Purdue Boilermakers vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons
16:00 UTC · Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette · Season record: Purdue Boilermakers 1-0 / Wake Forest Demon Deacons 1-0
The market leans Wake Forest Demon Deacons at 63.9%. Prices come from 11 books, and they differ by 4.2% on the widest side.
Georgia Bulldogs vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
16:45 UTC · Sanford Stadium, Athens · Season record: Georgia Bulldogs 1-0 / Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 0-1
The market leans Georgia Bulldogs at 95.5%. Prices come from 1 book.
Ball State Cardinals vs Stony Brook Seawolves
18:00 UTC · Scheumann Stadium, Muncie · Season record: Ball State Cardinals 0-1 / Stony Brook Seawolves 1-1
The market leans Ball State Cardinals at 84.1%. Prices come from 2 books, and they differ by 14.4% on the widest side.
Kentucky Wildcats vs Alabama Crimson Tide
19:30 UTC · Kroger Field, Lexington · Season record: Kentucky Wildcats 1-0 / Alabama Crimson Tide 1-0
The market leans Alabama Crimson Tide at 78.0%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 13.1% on the widest side.
BYU Cougars vs Arizona Wildcats
19:30 UTC · Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan · Season record: BYU Cougars 1-0 / Arizona Wildcats 0-1
The market leans BYU Cougars at 72.4%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 6.0% on the widest side.
Syracuse Orange vs California Golden Bears
19:30 UTC · JMA Wireless Dome, Syracuse · Season record: Syracuse Orange 1-0 / California Golden Bears 0-1
The market leans Syracuse Orange at 58.6%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 5.8% on the widest side.
Illinois Fighting Illini vs Duke Blue Devils
19:30 UTC · Gies Memorial Stadium, Champaign · Season record: Illinois Fighting Illini 1-0 / Duke Blue Devils 1-0
The market leans Illinois Fighting Illini at 66.6%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 7.8% on the widest side.
Michigan State Spartans vs Eastern Michigan Eagles
19:30 UTC · Spartan Stadium, East Lansing · Season record: Michigan State Spartans 1-0 / Eastern Michigan Eagles 1-1
The market leans Michigan State Spartans at 87.1%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 7.9% on the widest side.
UConn Huskies vs Maryland Terrapins
19:30 UTC · Pratt & Whitney Stadium, East Hartford · Season record: UConn Huskies 1-0 / Maryland Terrapins 1-0
The market leans Maryland Terrapins at 81.2%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 19.6% on the widest side.
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
19:30 UTC · Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis · Season record: Minnesota Golden Gophers 1-0 / Mississippi State Bulldogs 1-0
The market can barely separate them — 48.7% against 51.3%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 4.2% on the widest side.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Rice Owls
19:30 UTC · Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame · Season record: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 0-0 / Rice Owls 1-0
The market leans Notre Dame Fighting Irish at 95.5%. Prices come from 1 book.
Pittsburgh Panthers vs UCF Knights
19:30 UTC · Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh · Season record: Pittsburgh Panthers 1-0 / UCF Knights 1-0
The market leans Pittsburgh Panthers at 72.0%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 7.4% on the widest side.
Texas State Bobcats vs UTSA Roadrunners
19:30 UTC · UFCU Stadium, San Marcos · Season record: Texas State Bobcats 0-1 / UTSA Roadrunners 1-0
The market can barely separate them — 49.6% against 50.4%. Prices come from 6 books, and they differ by 3.8% on the widest side.
UAB Blazers vs UL Monroe Warhawks
19:30 UTC · Protective Stadium, Birmingham · Season record: UAB Blazers 0-1 / UL Monroe Warhawks 0-1
The market leans UAB Blazers at 77.4%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 18.9% on the widest side.
Washington Huskies vs Utah State Aggies
19:30 UTC · Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan · Season record: Washington Huskies 1-0 / Utah State Aggies 0-1
The market leans Washington Huskies at 94.3%. Prices come from 5 books, and they differ by 24.1% on the widest side.
North Texas Mean Green vs UNLV Rebels
19:45 UTC · DATCU Stadium, Denton · Season record: North Texas Mean Green 0-1 / UNLV Rebels 1-1
The market leans UNLV Rebels at 63.6%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 6.3% on the widest side.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs Delaware Blue Hens
20:15 UTC · FirstBank Stadium, Nashville · Season record: Vanderbilt Commodores 1-0 / Delaware Blue Hens 1-0
The market leans Vanderbilt Commodores at 89.9%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 42.0% on the widest side.
Boise State Broncos vs Memphis Tigers
22:00 UTC · Albertsons Stadium, Boise · Season record: Boise State Broncos 0-1 / Memphis Tigers 2-0
The market leans Boise State Broncos at 73.7%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 6.1% on the widest side.
Florida International Panthers vs Buffalo Bulls
22:00 UTC · Pitbull Stadium, Miami · Season record: Florida International Panthers 0-1 / Buffalo Bulls 1-0
The market leans Florida International Panthers at 77.7%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 16.0% on the widest side.
Ohio Bobcats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks
22:00 UTC · Peden Stadium, Athens · Season record: Ohio Bobcats 0-1 / Jacksonville State Gamecocks 1-1
The market can barely separate them — 53.2% against 46.8%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 4.0% on the widest side.
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Bowling Green Falcons
23:00 UTC · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE), Lincoln · Season record: Nebraska Cornhuskers 1-0 / Bowling Green Falcons 0-1
The market leans Nebraska Cornhuskers at 94.5%. Prices come from 5 books, and they differ by 43.4% on the widest side.
Kennesaw State Owls vs Georgia State Panthers
23:00 UTC · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia · Season record: Kennesaw State Owls 1-0 / Georgia State Panthers 1-0
The market leans Kennesaw State Owls at 74.4%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 5.6% on the widest side.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs Tennessee Volunteers
23:00 UTC · Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta · Season record: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 0-1 / Tennessee Volunteers 1-0
The market leans Tennessee Volunteers at 81.1%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 4.1% on the widest side.
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
23:00 UTC · Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington · Season record: Marshall Thundering Herd 0-1 / Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 1-0
The market leans Marshall Thundering Herd at 83.9%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 15.1% on the widest side.
Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane
23:00 UTC · Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis · Season record: Sam Houston State Bearkats 1-0 / Tulsa Golden Hurricane 1-0
The market leans Tulsa Golden Hurricane at 82.5%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 8.7% on the widest side.
Tulane Green Wave vs South Alabama Jaguars
23:00 UTC · Yulman Stadium, New Orleans · Season record: Tulane Green Wave 0-1 / South Alabama Jaguars 1-0
The market leans Tulane Green Wave at 77.4%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 12.1% on the widest side.
UCLA Bruins vs San Diego State Aztecs
23:15 UTC · Rose Bowl, Pasadena · Season record: UCLA Bruins 1-0 / San Diego State Aztecs 1-0
The market leans UCLA Bruins at 79.2%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 3.4% on the widest side.
Clemson Tigers vs Georgia Southern Eagles
23:30 UTC · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC), Clemson · Season record: Clemson Tigers 0-1 / Georgia Southern Eagles 1-0
The market leans Clemson Tigers at 90.2%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 32.7% on the widest side.
Florida Atlantic Owls vs Navy Midshipmen
23:30 UTC · Flagler Credit Union Stadium, Boca Raton · Season record: Florida Atlantic Owls 0-1 / Navy Midshipmen 1-0
The market leans Navy Midshipmen at 65.4%. Prices come from 8 books, and they differ by 7.7% on the widest side.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs Iowa State Cyclones
23:30 UTC · Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City · Season record: Iowa Hawkeyes 1-0 / Iowa State Cyclones 1-0
The market leans Iowa Hawkeyes at 84.7%. Prices come from 7 books, and they differ by 20.8% on the widest side.
LSU Tigers vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
23:30 UTC · Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge · Season record: LSU Tigers 1-0 / Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 1-0
The market leans LSU Tigers at 96.6%. Prices come from 2 books, and they differ by 71.4% on the widest side.
Texas Longhorns vs Ohio State Buckeyes
23:30 UTC · Kyle Field, College Station · Season record: Texas Longhorns 1-0 / Ohio State Buckeyes 1-0
The market can barely separate them — 51.4% against 48.6%. Prices come from 9 books, and they differ by 7.9% on the widest side.
Oregon State Beavers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
23:30 UTC · Kyle Field, College Station · Season record: Oregon State Beavers 1-0 / Texas Tech Red Raiders 1-0
The market leans Texas Tech Red Raiders at 94.0%. Prices come from 6 books, and they differ by 38.5% on the widest side.
Auburn Tigers vs Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
23:45 UTC · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC), Clemson · Season record: Auburn Tigers 0-1 / Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles 1-0
The market leans Auburn Tigers at 94.2%. Prices come from 3 books, and they differ by 35.7% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Texas State Bobcats vs UTSA Roadrunners: 49.6% vs 50.4%.
- Most one-sided — North Carolina Tar Heels vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers: the market gives North Carolina Tar Heels 97.1%.
- Where books disagree most — LSU Tigers vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: 71.4% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 5.3% across the slate.
Reading the slate
Saturday brings a slate heavily tilted toward chalk, with most matches clustering tightly around a five to six percent margin between bookmakers' implied probabilities. The consistency across these spreads suggests broad market agreement on relative team strength. However, several fixtures show notable disagreement among the available books, signaling genuine uncertainty beneath the surface agreement on direction.
The most severe booking divergence appears in matches involving lopsided matchups. LSU versus Louisiana Tech shows a seventy-one percent spread across two books despite 96.6 percent implied home probability—an extreme range that reflects very different assessments of just how dominant the favorite should be. Similarly, Oregon State against Texas Tech (94.0 percent away) displays a 38.5 percent book spread, and Temple against Penn State (92.3 percent away) a 66.7 percent spread. Clemson versus Georgia Southern (90.2 percent home) reaches 32.7 percent disagreement. These gaps suggest bookmakers struggle to price blowout scenarios consistently, even when directional consensus is overwhelming.
Closer matches show tighter book coordination. Texas and Ohio State sit almost exactly even at 51.4 and 48.6 percent respectively, with only 7.9 percent book spread—the market is genuinely split on this pairing. Minnesota and Mississippi State (48.7 to 51.3) and Texas State with UTSA (49.6 to 50.4) similarly hover near parity with minimal booking variance. Kansas versus Missouri (32.1 to 67.9) and Alabama versus Kentucky (22.0 to 78.0) are the day's most one-sided competitive contests, where books agree firmly on the underdog's long odds but haven't collapsed to the near-certainty pricing seen in blowouts.
Prices captured 2026-09-07 02:54 UTC. Odds move.