NFL has 12 matches on Sunday, September 13. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons | 1.54 | 2.48 | 61.7% / 38.3% |
| 17:00 | Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens | 2.46 | 1.55 | 38.6% / 61.4% |
| 17:00 | Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills | 1.94 | 1.86 | 48.9% / 51.1% |
| 17:00 | Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears | 2.29 | 1.63 | 41.5% / 58.5% |
| 17:00 | Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1.46 | 2.70 | 64.8% / 35.2% |
| 17:00 | Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns | 1.23 | 4.20 | 77.4% / 22.6% |
| 17:00 | Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints | 1.30 | 3.53 | 73.1% / 26.9% |
| 17:00 | Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets | 1.79 | 2.02 | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| 20:25 | Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals | 1.18 | 4.86 | 80.5% / 19.5% |
| 20:25 | Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers | 1.81 | 1.99 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 20:25 | Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins | 1.52 | 2.54 | 62.5% / 37.5% |
| 20:25 | Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders | 1.42 | 2.85 | 66.7% / 33.3% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 20 books (Unibet (SE), BetOnline.ag, LeoVegas (SE), Unibet (NL), Nordic Bet, Betsson). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons
17:00 UTC · Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh · Season record: Pittsburgh Steelers 0-0 / Atlanta Falcons 0-0
The market leans Pittsburgh Steelers at 61.7%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 19.8% on the widest side.
Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens
17:00 UTC · Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis · Season record: Indianapolis Colts 0-0 / Baltimore Ravens 0-0
The market leans Baltimore Ravens at 61.4%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 18.9% on the widest side.
Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills
17:00 UTC · Reliant Stadium, Houston · Season record: Houston Texans 0-0 / Buffalo Bills 0-0
The market can barely separate them — 48.9% against 51.1%. Prices come from 17 books, and they differ by 15.9% on the widest side.
Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears
17:00 UTC · Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte · Season record: Carolina Panthers 0-0 / Chicago Bears 0-0
The market leans Chicago Bears at 58.5%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 17.0% on the widest side.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
17:00 UTC · Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati · Season record: Cincinnati Bengals 0-0 / Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0-0
The market leans Cincinnati Bengals at 64.8%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 15.2% on the widest side.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns
17:00 UTC · EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville · Season record: Jacksonville Jaguars 0-0 / Cleveland Browns 0-0
The market leans Jacksonville Jaguars at 77.4%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 20.0% on the widest side.
Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints
17:00 UTC · Ford Field, Detroit · Season record: Detroit Lions 0-0 / New Orleans Saints 0-0
The market leans Detroit Lions at 73.1%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 20.0% on the widest side.
Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets
17:00 UTC · Nissan Stadium, Nashville · Season record: Tennessee Titans 0-0 / New York Jets 0-0
The market can barely separate them — 53.1% against 46.9%. Prices come from 19 books, and they differ by 18.1% on the widest side.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals
20:25 UTC · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood · Season record: Los Angeles Chargers 0-0 / Arizona Cardinals 0-0
The market leans Los Angeles Chargers at 80.5%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 23.8% on the widest side.
Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers
20:25 UTC · U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis · Season record: Minnesota Vikings 0-0 / Green Bay Packers 0-0
The market can barely separate them — 52.3% against 47.7%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 19.9% on the widest side.
Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins
20:25 UTC · Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas · Season record: Las Vegas Raiders 0-0 / Miami Dolphins 0-0
The market leans Las Vegas Raiders at 62.5%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 16.9% on the widest side.
Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders
20:25 UTC · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia · Season record: Philadelphia Eagles 0-0 / Washington Commanders 0-0
The market leans Philadelphia Eagles at 66.7%. Prices come from 20 books, and they differ by 26.5% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills: 48.9% vs 51.1%.
- Most one-sided — Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals: the market gives Los Angeles Chargers 80.5%.
- Where books disagree most — Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders: 26.5% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 5.4% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The Sunday slate displays a wide range of conviction levels, from near tossups to heavily favored matchups. Houston-Buffalo stands out as the closest contest, with the implied market split nearly even at 48.9-51.1, meaning bookmakers see this as a near coin flip. At the other extreme, Los Angeles is priced with an 80.5 percent win probability against Arizona, the highest confidence backing on the slate. Jacksonville-Cleveland follows closely behind at 77.4 percent for the home side. These lopsided matches suggest the market views them as significantly more settled affairs than the competitive middle ground occupied by Tennessee-New York and Minnesota-Green Bay, both hovering around 52-53 percent.
Bookmaker disagreement varies meaningfully across the fixtures. Philadelphia-Washington shows the largest spread divergence at 26.5 percent, indicating the most fragmentation among the 20 books reporting odds—a notable gap that points to genuine uncertainty despite Cincinnati being the only other double-digit favorite. Jacksonville-Cleveland and Detroit-New Orleans, conversely, show consensus tighter than the slate average at 20.0 percent spread, suggesting less haggling over the probability assessment even though one team is heavily favored in each case. The typical margin across all 12 matches sits between 5.1 and 5.6 percent, so outliers deserve attention from those tracking book coherence.
The afternoon slate is weighted toward home favorites, with only Houston-Buffalo and Indianapolis-Baltimore offering away-team implied probabilities above 48 percent. Five matches—Cincinnati, Jacksonville, Detroit, Los Angeles, and Philadelphia—price the home team at 64 percent or higher, creating a pronounced tilted distribution. This heavy home-team lean suggests either scheduling advantage work or that away teams in these particular pairings carry structural or perceived disadvantages the market is pricing consistently across books.
Prices captured 2026-09-08 00:00 UTC. Odds move.