Serie A has 3 matches on Monday, September 14. Below is the full slate with bookmaker prices and the probabilities those prices imply once the margin is removed.
Fixtures and odds
| UTC | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | Torino vs AS Roma | 5.90 | 3.91 | 1.59 | 16.1% / 24.2% / 59.7% |
| 16:30 | Como vs Parma | 1.25 | 5.75 | 12.44 | 75.9% / 16.5% / 7.6% |
| 18:45 | Inter Milan vs Udinese | 1.28 | 5.68 | 10.32 | 74.2% / 16.7% / 9.2% |
Odds are decimal, averaged across 23 books (Winamax (DE), LeoVegas (SE), Unibet (FR), Winamax (FR), Unibet (NL), Unibet (SE)). "Implied" strips the bookmaker margin so the numbers add up to 100%.
Match by match
Torino vs AS Roma
16:30 UTC · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino · Season record: Torino 1-0-2 / AS Roma 3-0-0
The market leans AS Roma at 59.7%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 22.2% on the widest side.
Como vs Parma
16:30 UTC · Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como · Season record: Como 2-1-0 / Parma 0-1-2
The market leans Como at 75.9%. Prices come from 22 books, and they differ by 78.9% on the widest side.
Inter Milan vs Udinese
18:45 UTC
The market leans Inter Milan at 74.2%. Prices come from 23 books, and they differ by 41.2% on the widest side.
What the market is saying
- Closest on paper — Torino vs AS Roma: 16.1% vs 59.7%.
- Most one-sided — Como vs Parma: the market gives Como 75.9%.
- Where books disagree most — Como vs Parma: 78.9% between the best and worst price.
- Average bookmaker margin — 5.6% across the slate.
Reading the slate
The headline on Monday is the sharp disparity in how competitive the market sees each fixture. Como versus Parma presents the day's most lopsided proposition, with bookmakers pricing Como's home win at nearly 76 percent—a 78.9 percentage-point spread between the most likely and least likely outcomes across the three results. Inter Milan at home against Udinese follows a similar pattern, with the home side favored at 74 percent. By contrast, Torino versus Roma is genuinely contested according to the market: Roma's away win sits at 60 percent, but Torino's home chances at 16 percent leave meaningful probability for a draw at 24 percent. The Torino-Roma spread of just 22.2 points reflects substantially tighter pricing than either top-match.
Bookmaker consensus appears strongest where the odds are most extreme. Across the three matches, the book spreads—measuring variation in odds quoted by different sportsbooks—are smallest for Como-Parma and Inter-Udinese, the two matches the market is most confident about. The 5.5 to 5.6 percent margins are consistent throughout the slate, suggesting efficient pricing and little daylight for the public to exploit across operators. Torino-Roma stands apart with a 5.6 margin but a 22.2 book spread, indicating disagreement among bookmakers about exactly where the equilibrium lies in a genuinely uncertain match.
Prices captured 2026-09-09 00:01 UTC. Odds move.